Atara Biotherapeutics Stock Price Prediction
| ATRA Stock | USD 0.71 0.02 2.90% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Atara Biotherapeutics stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Atara Biotherapeutics shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Atara Biotherapeutics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Atara Biotherapeutics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Atara Biotherapeutics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Atara Biotherapeutics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Atara Biotherapeutics' stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.47) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.72) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.46) | Wall Street Target Price 4.2 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.48) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Atara Biotherapeutics based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Atara stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Atara Biotherapeutics over a specific investment horizon. Using Atara Biotherapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atara Biotherapeutics from the perspective of Atara Biotherapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Atara Biotherapeutics using Atara Biotherapeutics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Atara using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Atara Biotherapeutics' stock price.
Atara Biotherapeutics Implied Volatility | 332.2 |
Atara Biotherapeutics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atara Biotherapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atara Biotherapeutics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atara Biotherapeutics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atara Biotherapeutics' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Atara Biotherapeutics. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Atara Biotherapeutics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Atara because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Atara Biotherapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 0.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Atara |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atara Biotherapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atara Biotherapeutics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Atara Biotherapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atara Biotherapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atara Biotherapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Atara Biotherapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Atara Biotherapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atara Biotherapeutics' historical news coverage. Atara Biotherapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 9.66, respectively. We have considered Atara Biotherapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Atara Biotherapeutics is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atara Biotherapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Atara Biotherapeutics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atara Biotherapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atara Biotherapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atara Biotherapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 9.13 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 14 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.71 | 0.68 | 1.45 |
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Atara Biotherapeutics Hype Timeline
Atara Biotherapeutics is presently traded for 0.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Atara is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.45%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Atara Biotherapeutics is about 12641.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.75. About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Atara Biotherapeutics recorded a loss per share of 2.61. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Atara Biotherapeutics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Atara Biotherapeutics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Atara Biotherapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atara Biotherapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how Atara Biotherapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atara Biotherapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Atara Biotherapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Atara price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atara using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atara charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Atara Biotherapeutics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Atara Biotherapeutics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Atara Biotherapeutics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Atara Biotherapeutics based on analysis of Atara Biotherapeutics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Atara Biotherapeutics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Atara Biotherapeutics's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 2.12 | 2.41 | 2.53 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 39.74 | 398.68 | 418.62 |
Story Coverage note for Atara Biotherapeutics
The number of cover stories for Atara Biotherapeutics depends on current market conditions and Atara Biotherapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atara Biotherapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atara Biotherapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Atara Biotherapeutics Short Properties
Atara Biotherapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Atara Biotherapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atara Biotherapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atara Biotherapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atara Biotherapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.9 M |
Check out Atara Biotherapeutics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Atara Stock refer to our How to Trade Atara Stock guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Complementary Tools for Atara Stock analysis
When running Atara Biotherapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Atara Biotherapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atara Biotherapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Atara Biotherapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atara Biotherapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atara Biotherapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atara Biotherapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Atara Biotherapeutics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atara Biotherapeutics. If investors know Atara will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atara Biotherapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.61) | Revenue Per Share 0.081 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 13.457 | Return On Assets (0.62) | Return On Equity (20.15) |
The market value of Atara Biotherapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atara that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atara Biotherapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atara Biotherapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atara Biotherapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atara Biotherapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atara Biotherapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atara Biotherapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atara Biotherapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.