Airbnbinc Stock Price Prediction
| ABNB Stock | USD 164.23 1.22 0.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
AirbnbInc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AirbnbInc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AirbnbInc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AirbnbInc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AirbnbInc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AirbnbInc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AirbnbInc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AirbnbInc stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AirbnbInc over a specific investment horizon. Using AirbnbInc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AirbnbInc from the perspective of AirbnbInc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AirbnbInc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AirbnbInc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AirbnbInc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AirbnbInc after-hype prediction price | USD 164.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AirbnbInc |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AirbnbInc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AirbnbInc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AirbnbInc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AirbnbInc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AirbnbInc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AirbnbInc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AirbnbInc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AirbnbInc's historical news coverage. AirbnbInc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 162.19 and 166.27, respectively. We have considered AirbnbInc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AirbnbInc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AirbnbInc is based on 3 months time horizon.
AirbnbInc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AirbnbInc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AirbnbInc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AirbnbInc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
164.23 | 164.23 | 0.00 |
|
AirbnbInc Hype Timeline
AirbnbInc is presently traded for 164.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AirbnbInc is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on AirbnbInc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 164.23. About 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.24. AirbnbInc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out AirbnbInc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AirbnbInc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AirbnbInc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AirbnbInc's future price movements. Getting to know how AirbnbInc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AirbnbInc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NCLH | Norwegian Cruise Line | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.44 | 0.02 | 3.81 | (4.62) | 27.86 | |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.04 | 3.08 | (2.77) | 11.21 | |
| EXPE | Expedia Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.61 | (2.23) | 21.08 | |
| BKNG | Booking Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.15 | (0.04) | 2.07 | (2.78) | 14.45 | |
| TRIP | TripAdvisor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.11 | 4.01 | (2.20) | 18.53 | |
| CCL | Carnival | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.57 | (3.71) | 12.59 |
AirbnbInc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AirbnbInc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AirbnbInc using various technical indicators. When you analyze AirbnbInc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AirbnbInc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AirbnbInc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AirbnbInc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AirbnbInc based on analysis of AirbnbInc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AirbnbInc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AirbnbInc's related companies. Story Coverage note for AirbnbInc
The number of cover stories for AirbnbInc depends on current market conditions and AirbnbInc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AirbnbInc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AirbnbInc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
AirbnbInc Short Properties
AirbnbInc's future price predictability will typically decrease when AirbnbInc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AirbnbInc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AirbnbInc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AirbnbInc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 662 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.1 B |
Check out AirbnbInc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade AirbnbInc Stock refer to our How to Trade AirbnbInc Stock guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for AirbnbInc Stock analysis
When running AirbnbInc's price analysis, check to measure AirbnbInc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AirbnbInc is operating at the current time. Most of AirbnbInc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AirbnbInc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AirbnbInc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AirbnbInc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies |
Is AirbnbInc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AirbnbInc. If investors know AirbnbInc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AirbnbInc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of AirbnbInc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AirbnbInc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AirbnbInc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AirbnbInc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AirbnbInc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AirbnbInc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AirbnbInc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AirbnbInc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AirbnbInc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.