Timken Company Stock Performance

TKR Stock  USD 91.73  0.40  0.44%   
Timken has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.33, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Timken are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Timken is likely to outperform the market. Timken Company right now has a risk of 1.43%. Please validate Timken value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Timken will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timken Company are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak forward-looking signals, Timken may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in June 2024. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.44
Five Day Return
1.38
Year To Date Return
16.28
Ten Year Return
101.16
All Time Return
1.1 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0149
Payout Ratio
0.1985
Last Split Factor
1397:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
1.36
Dividend Date
2024-05-28
 
Timken dividend paid on 6th of March 2024
03/06/2024
1
Disposition of 436 shares by Christopher Coughlin of Timken at 81.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/15/2024
2
When Should You Buy The Timken Company
03/18/2024
3
Acquisition by Richard Kyle of 45000 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3
04/05/2024
4
Disposition of 1000 shares by John Timken of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3
04/09/2024
5
Acquisition by Richard Kyle of 30000 shares of Timken subject to Rule 16b-3
04/12/2024
6
Timken Recognized by Fortune as one of Americas Most Innovative Companies
04/16/2024
7
Timken earnings beat by 0.26, revenue topped estimates
04/30/2024
8
The Timken Company Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
05/01/2024
9
Disposition of 20000 shares by Richard Kyle of Timken at 89.09 subject to Rule 16b-3
05/02/2024
10
Timken raises dividend by 3 percent to 0.34
05/03/2024
11
Disposition of 10000 shares by Philip Fracassa of Timken at 89.76 subject to Rule 16b-3
05/06/2024
12
Timkens Dividend Will Be Increased To 0.34
05/07/2024
13
The Timken Company Looks Like A Good Stock, And Its Going Ex-Dividend Soon
05/09/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow340.7 M
  

Timken Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,323  in Timken Company on February 10, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  810.00  from holding Timken Company or generate 9.73% return on investment over 90 days. Timken Company is generating 0.1576% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4276% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Timken, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Timken is expected to generate 2.26 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.26 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Timken Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timken's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Timken Company, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Timken's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1104

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.43
  actual daily
12
88% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.16
  actual daily
3
97% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.11
  actual daily
8
92% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Timken is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Timken by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Timken Fundamentals Growth

Timken Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timken, and Timken fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timken Stock performance.

About Timken Performance

To evaluate Timken Company Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Timken generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Timken Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Timken Company market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Timken's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 134.90  80.28 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.1  0.1 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.16 

Things to note about Timken Company performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timken for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Timken Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Timken Company has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: The Timken Company Looks Like A Good Stock, And Its Going Ex-Dividend Soon
Evaluating Timken's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timken's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Timken's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timken's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Timken's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Timken's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timken's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timken's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Timken's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Timken's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Timken's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Timken Company is a strong investment it is important to analyze Timken's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Timken's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Timken Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Timken Company. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Timken Stock analysis

When running Timken's price analysis, check to measure Timken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Timken is operating at the current time. Most of Timken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Timken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Timken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Timken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Timken's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Timken. If investors know Timken will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Timken listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Dividend Share
1.32
Earnings Share
5.26
Revenue Per Share
66.317
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Timken Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Timken that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Timken's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Timken's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Timken's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Timken's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timken's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timken is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timken's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.