Franklin Federal Tax Free Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FAFTX Fund  USD 10.79  0.04  0.37%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0908, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Franklin Federal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Franklin Federal is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Franklin Federal Tax Free are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Franklin Federal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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At BlackRock, State Street and Vanguard, Millions of Investors Are Getting a Voice - The New York Times
02/23/2024
Expense Ratio0.5400
  

Franklin Federal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,072  in Franklin Federal Tax Free on February 8, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding Franklin Federal Tax Free or generate 0.65% return on investment over 90 days. Franklin Federal Tax Free is currently producing 0.0105% returns and takes up 0.1863% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Franklin, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Federal is expected to generate 6.55 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 3.36 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Franklin Federal Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
10.79
Please note that Franklin Federal's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Franklin Federal Tax shows a prevailing Real Value of $10.77 per share. The current price of the fund is $10.79. We determine the value of Franklin Federal Tax from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Our valuation method for Franklin Federal Tax Free is useful when determining the fair value of the Franklin mutual fund, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Franklin Federal. Since Franklin Federal is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Franklin Mutual Fund. However, Franklin Federal's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.79 Real  10.77 Hype  10.79 Naive  10.82
The real value of Franklin Mutual Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Franklin Federal Tax Mutual Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Franklin Federal's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Franklin Federal's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Franklin Federal's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.77
Real Value
10.96
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Franklin Federal Tax Free helps investors to forecast how Franklin mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Franklin Federal more accurately as focusing exclusively on Franklin Federal's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6210.6910.77
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6010.7910.98
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.060.060.06
Details

Franklin Federal Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin Federal's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Franklin Federal Tax Free, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Franklin Federal's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0564

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.19
  actual daily
1
99% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.06
  actual daily
4
96% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Franklin Federal is performing at about 4% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Franklin Federal by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Franklin Federal Fundamentals Growth

Franklin Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Franklin Federal, and Franklin Federal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Franklin Mutual Fund performance.

About Franklin Federal Performance

To evaluate Franklin Federal Tax Mutual Fund as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Franklin Federal generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Franklin Mutual Fund's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Franklin Federal Tax market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Franklin's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its total assets in investment grade municipal securities whose interest is free from federal income taxes, including the federal alternative minimum tax. Although the fund tries to invest all of its assets in tax-free securities, it is possible that up to 20 percent of the funds total assets may be in securities that pay interest that may be subject to the federal alternative minimum tax and in securities that pay taxable interest.

Things to note about Franklin Federal Tax performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Federal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Federal Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Franklin Federal Tax retains about 97.37% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating Franklin Federal's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Franklin Federal's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Franklin Federal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Franklin Federal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Franklin Federal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Franklin Federal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Franklin Federal's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Franklin Federal's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Franklin Federal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Franklin Federal's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Franklin Federal's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Franklin Federal Tax Free. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.