Vanguard Total Stock Fund Market Value
| VTSMX Fund | USD 129.81 1.19 0.93% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard Total 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Total's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Total.
| 03/14/2024 |
| 06/12/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard Total on March 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Total Stock or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Total over 90 days. Vanguard Total is related to or competes with Rbb Fund, Shelton Funds, Artisan Thematic, Credit Suisse, and Summit Global. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, which represents approx... More
Vanguard Total Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Total's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Total Stock upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.7051 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0925 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.9 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.20) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.18 |
Vanguard Total Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Total's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Total's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Total historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Total's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0713 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0649 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0642 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0917 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0731 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Total's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Total Stock Backtested Returns
We consider Vanguard Total very steady. Vanguard Total Stock owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vanguard Total Stock, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Total's Semi Deviation of 0.5933, risk adjusted performance of 0.0713, and Coefficient Of Variation of 889.07 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0786%. The entity has a beta of 0.94, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Vanguard Total returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Total is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | -0.24 |
Weak reverse predictability
Vanguard Total Stock has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Total time series from 14th of March 2024 to 28th of April 2024 and 28th of April 2024 to 12th of June 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Total Stock price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Vanguard Total price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.24 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.75 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.84 |
Vanguard Total Stock lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Total mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Total's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Total returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Total has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Total regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Total mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Total mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Total mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Total Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard Total's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Total mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Total autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Total autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Total mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Total Stock.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund
Vanguard Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Total security.
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