Urban Outfitters Stock Market Value
| URBN Stock | USD 39.99 0.59 1.50% |
| Symbol | Urban |
Urban Outfitters Price To Book Ratio
Is Urban Outfitters' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban Outfitters. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban Outfitters listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.479 | Earnings Share 3.05 | Revenue Per Share 55.592 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 | Return On Assets 0.0622 |
The market value of Urban Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban Outfitters' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban Outfitters' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban Outfitters' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban Outfitters' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban Outfitters' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban Outfitters is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban Outfitters' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Urban Outfitters 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Urban Outfitters' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Urban Outfitters.
| 04/03/2024 |
| 05/03/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Urban Outfitters on April 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Urban Outfitters or generate 0.0% return on investment in Urban Outfitters over 30 days. Urban Outfitters is related to or competes with Gap, and Childrens Place. Urban Outfitters, Inc. engages in the retail and wholesale of general consumer products More
Urban Outfitters Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Urban Outfitters' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Urban Outfitters upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.62) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.36 |
Urban Outfitters Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Urban Outfitters' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Urban Outfitters' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Urban Outfitters historical prices to predict the future Urban Outfitters' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0157 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0161 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Urban Outfitters' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Urban Outfitters Backtested Returns
Urban Outfitters owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0034, which indicates the firm had a -0.0034% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Urban Outfitters exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Urban Outfitters' Coefficient Of Variation of 7833.48, risk adjusted performance of 0.0157, and Semi Deviation of 3.01 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 1.44, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Urban Outfitters will likely underperform. Urban Outfitters has an expected return of -0.0087%. Please make sure to validate Urban Outfitters value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if Urban Outfitters performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.63 |
Very good reverse predictability
Urban Outfitters has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Urban Outfitters time series from 3rd of April 2024 to 18th of April 2024 and 18th of April 2024 to 3rd of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Urban Outfitters price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Urban Outfitters price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.63 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.57 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.11 |
Urban Outfitters lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Urban Outfitters stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Urban Outfitters' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Urban Outfitters returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Urban Outfitters has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Urban Outfitters regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Urban Outfitters stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Urban Outfitters stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Urban Outfitters stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Urban Outfitters Lagged Returns
When evaluating Urban Outfitters' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Urban Outfitters stock have on its future price. Urban Outfitters autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Urban Outfitters autocorrelation shows the relationship between Urban Outfitters stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Urban Outfitters.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Urban Outfitters offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Urban Outfitters' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Urban Outfitters Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Urban Outfitters Stock:Check out Urban Outfitters Correlation, Urban Outfitters Volatility and Urban Outfitters Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Urban Outfitters. To learn how to invest in Urban Stock, please use our How to Invest in Urban Outfitters guide.Note that the Urban Outfitters information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Urban Outfitters' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Urban Stock analysis
When running Urban Outfitters' price analysis, check to measure Urban Outfitters' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Urban Outfitters is operating at the current time. Most of Urban Outfitters' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Urban Outfitters' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Urban Outfitters' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Urban Outfitters to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Urban Outfitters technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.