1919 Socially Responsive Fund Market Value

SESLX Fund  USD 28.08  0.03  0.11%   
1919 Socially's market value is the price at which a share of 1919 Socially trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of 1919 Socially Responsive investors about its performance. 1919 Socially is trading at 28.08 as of the 1st of May 2024; that is -0.11 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of 1919 Socially Responsive and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 1919 Socially over a given investment horizon. Check out 1919 Socially Correlation, 1919 Socially Volatility and 1919 Socially Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 1919 Socially.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 1919 Socially's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1919 Socially is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1919 Socially's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

1919 Socially 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 1919 Socially's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 1919 Socially.
0.00
11/03/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
05/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 1919 Socially on November 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding 1919 Socially Responsive or generate 0.0% return on investment in 1919 Socially over 180 days. 1919 Socially is related to or competes with 1919 Financial, 1919 Financial, and 1919 Financial. The fund invests in a mix of common stocks and other equity securities of U.S More

1919 Socially Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 1919 Socially's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess 1919 Socially Responsive upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

1919 Socially Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 1919 Socially's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 1919 Socially's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 1919 Socially historical prices to predict the future 1919 Socially's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1919 Socially's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.5128.1128.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.4228.0228.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.9328.5429.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.3728.1328.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1919 Socially. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1919 Socially's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1919 Socially's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 1919 Socially Responsive.

1919 Socially Responsive Backtested Returns

We consider 1919 Socially very steady. 1919 Socially Responsive retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0469, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0469% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for 1919 Socially, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 1919 Socially's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (2.67), standard deviation of 0.628, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1162.62 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0291%. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0164, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 1919 Socially are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 1919 Socially is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.42  

Average predictability

1919 Socially Responsive has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 1919 Socially time series from 3rd of November 2023 to 1st of February 2024 and 1st of February 2024 to 1st of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 1919 Socially Responsive price movement. The serial correlation of 0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current 1919 Socially price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.42
Spearman Rank Test0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

1919 Socially Responsive lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 1919 Socially mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 1919 Socially's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 1919 Socially returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 1919 Socially has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

1919 Socially regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 1919 Socially mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 1919 Socially mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 1919 Socially mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

1919 Socially Lagged Returns

When evaluating 1919 Socially's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 1919 Socially mutual fund have on its future price. 1919 Socially autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 1919 Socially autocorrelation shows the relationship between 1919 Socially mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in 1919 Socially Responsive.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 1919 Socially in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 1919 Socially's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 1919 Socially options trading.

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Check out 1919 Socially Correlation, 1919 Socially Volatility and 1919 Socially Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 1919 Socially.
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1919 Socially technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of 1919 Socially technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of 1919 Socially trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...