Vital Energy Stock Beneish M Score

VTLE Stock   45.14  0.49  1.10%   
This module uses fundamental data of Vital Energy to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Vital Energy M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Vital Energy Piotroski F Score and Vital Energy Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Vital Stock refer to our How to Trade Vital Stock guide.
  
At present, Vital Energy's Net Debt To EBITDA is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Debt To Equity is expected to grow to 0.63, whereas Net Debt is forecasted to decline to about 1.2 B. At present, Vital Energy's Invested Capital is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Operating Cash Flow Per Share is expected to grow to 46.42, whereas PTB Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.31.
At this time, it appears that Vital Energy is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Vital Energy's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Vital Energy executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Vital Energy's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.91
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.79

Focus
Asset Quality

1.27

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.41

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.2

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.41

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.46

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.59

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.6

Focus

Vital Energy Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Vital Energy's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables250.7 M238.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue909.7 M1.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets5.5 B5.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets237.5 M370.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total5.1 B4.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment2.2 B2.8 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization240.5 M466.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative86.7 M104.8 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities306.1 M595.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total1.3 B1.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt1.2 B1.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt74.2 M70.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.4 B1.6 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities472.7 M813 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments17.9 M18.9 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.520.4316
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable

Vital Energy Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Vital Energy's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Vital Energy in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Vital Energy's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Vital Energy Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

240.47 Million

At present, Vital Energy's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Vital Energy Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Vital Energy. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables85.2M64.0M151.8M163.4M238.8M250.7M
Total Revenue837.3M677.2M1.4B1.9B1.5B909.7M
Total Assets2.3B1.4B2.6B2.7B5.2B5.5B
Total Current Assets200.5M136.6M235.9M245.8M370.9M237.5M
Net Debt1.2B1.2B1.4B1.1B1.7B1.2B
Operating Income232.1M41.0M720.3M1.1B571.1M331.0M
Gross Profit Margin0.420.370.220.540.630.52

About Vital Energy Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vital Energy's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vital Energy using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vital Energy based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Vital Stock

When determining whether Vital Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vital Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vital Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Vital Energy Piotroski F Score and Vital Energy Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Vital Stock refer to our How to Trade Vital Stock guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Energy. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vital Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.324
Earnings Share
24.68
Revenue Per Share
67.795
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.451
Return On Assets
0.074
The market value of Vital Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vital Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.