Star Gas Partners Stock Beneish M Score

SGU Stock  USD 10.73  0.27  2.45%   
This module uses fundamental data of Star Gas to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Star Gas M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Star Gas Piotroski F Score and Star Gas Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Star Gas' Debt Equity Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Debt Ratio is likely to gain to 0.41 in 2024, whereas Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 86.3 M in 2024. At this time, Star Gas' EV To Sales is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Free Cash Flow Per Share is likely to gain to 3.04 in 2024, whereas ROIC is likely to drop 0.07 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Star Gas Partners is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Star Gas' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Star Gas executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Star Gas' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.62
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.14

Focus
Asset Quality

0.79

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.93

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.23

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.93

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.17

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.62

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.85

Focus

Star Gas Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Star Gas' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables92.7 M131.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.4 B2.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets734.9 MB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets256.8 M292.9 M
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total478.1 M713.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment185.3 M176.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization33.6 M38.4 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative42.1 M23.2 M
Way Up
Very volatile
Total Current Liabilities249 M419.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total177.4 M222.2 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt44.9 M44.6 M
Slightly Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt153.2 M114.6 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Operating Income41.6 M71.9 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities149.3 M142.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments59 M76.7 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.320.26
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable

Star Gas Partners Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Star Gas' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Star Gas in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Star Gas' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Star Gas Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

1.35 Billion

At this time, Star Gas' Other Operating Expenses is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Star Gas Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Star Gas. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables83.6M99.7M138.3M114.1M131.2M92.7M
Total Revenue1.5B1.5B2.0B2.0B2.2B1.4B
Total Assets838.6M853.9M912.5M875.5M1.0B734.9M
Total Current Assets226.3M222.0M288.3M254.7M292.9M256.8M
Net Debt170.9M214.3M268.3M198.6M178.7M124.2M
Short Term Debt32.1M42.7M49.9M38.8M44.6M44.9M
Long Term Debt109.8M92.4M151.7M127.3M114.6M153.2M
Operating Income53.4M58.6M43.2M62.5M71.9M41.6M
Investments(10.4M)(1.1M)(32.6M)(28.2M)(32.4M)(34.0M)

Star Gas ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Star Gas' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Star Gas' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Star Gas Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Star Gas Partners's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Star Gas using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Star Gas Partners based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Star Gas

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Star Gas position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Star Gas will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Star Stock

  0.6DINO HF Sinclair CorpPairCorr
  0.58WKC World Kinect Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.56DK Delek EnergyPairCorr
  0.5VLO Valero Energy Financial Report 25th of July 2024 PairCorr
  0.49PSX Phillips 66PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Star Gas could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Star Gas when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Star Gas - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Star Gas Partners to buy it.
The correlation of Star Gas is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Star Gas moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Star Gas Partners moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Star Gas can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Star Gas Partners is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Star Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Star Gas Partners Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Star Gas Partners Stock:
Check out Star Gas Piotroski F Score and Star Gas Altman Z Score analysis.
Note that the Star Gas Partners information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Star Gas' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

Complementary Tools for Star Stock analysis

When running Star Gas' price analysis, check to measure Star Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Star Gas is operating at the current time. Most of Star Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Star Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Star Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Star Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Is Star Gas' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Star Gas. If investors know Star will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Star Gas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.104
Dividend Share
0.66
Earnings Share
0.95
Revenue Per Share
49.49
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
The market value of Star Gas Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Star that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Star Gas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Star Gas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Star Gas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Star Gas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Star Gas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Star Gas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Star Gas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.