Alarm Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

ALRM Stock  USD 62.62  0.33  0.53%   
This module uses fundamental data of Alarm Holdings to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Alarm Holdings M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Alarm Holdings Piotroski F Score and Alarm Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.
  
At this time, Alarm Holdings' Interest Debt Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 12th of June 2024, Debt To Assets is likely to grow to 0.38, while Net Debt To EBITDA is likely to drop (1.23). At this time, Alarm Holdings' Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 12th of June 2024, PB Ratio is likely to grow to 7.70, while Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop 37.38.
At this time, it appears that Alarm Holdings is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Alarm Holdings' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Alarm Holdings executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Alarm Holdings' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-4.53
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.98

Focus
Asset Quality

0.99

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.15

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.79

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.15

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.52

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.54

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

4.72

Focus

Alarm Holdings Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Alarm Holdings' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables69.5 M130.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue478.2 M881.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current AssetsB956.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total253.4 M482.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment69 M65.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization24.8 M44.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative70.6 M112.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities184.1 M175.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total566.3 M539.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt15.8 M12 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt518.2 M493.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income39.9 M66.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities142.8 M136 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments1.1 M900 K
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.50.6312
Significantly Down
Very volatile

Alarm Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Alarm Holdings' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Alarm Holdings in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Alarm Holdings' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Alarm Holdings Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

24.78 Million

At this time, Alarm Holdings' Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Alarm Holdings Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Alarm Holdings. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables76.4M83.3M105.5M124.3M130.6M69.5M
Total Revenue502.4M618.0M749.0M842.6M881.7M478.2M
Total Assets557.8M731.7M1.2B1.3B1.4B1.5B
Total Current Assets243.7M397.4M917.6M891.1M956.8M1.0B
Net Debt(11.7M)(95.8M)(242.4M)(92.3M)(171.0M)(162.4M)
Short Term Debt7.7M10.0M10.3M12.2M12.0M15.8M
Long Term Debt63M110M425.3M490.4M493.5M518.2M
Operating Income50.4M82.8M61.6M51.0M66.8M39.9M
Investments(26.1M)24.5M(5M)(68.3M)(27.4M)(26.1M)

Alarm Holdings ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Alarm Holdings' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Alarm Holdings' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Alarm Holdings Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Alarm Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Alarm Holdings using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alarm Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Alarm Stock

When determining whether Alarm Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Alarm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Alarm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Alarm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Alarm Holdings Piotroski F Score and Alarm Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Alarm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarm Holdings guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alarm Holdings. If investors know Alarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alarm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.59
Earnings Share
1.69
Revenue Per Share
17.936
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
Return On Assets
0.0373
The market value of Alarm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alarm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alarm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alarm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alarm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alarm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.