Fair Isaac Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 350.12

FICO -- USA Stock  

USD 308.46  3.04  1.00%

Fair Isaac probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Fair Isaac Corproation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Fair Isaac time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Fair Isaac odds to be computed. Additionally see Fair Isaac Backtesting, Fair Isaac Valuation, Fair Isaac Correlation, Fair Isaac Hype Analysis, Fair Isaac Volatility, Fair Isaac History as well as Fair Isaac Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Fair Isaac Target Price Odds to finish below 350.12

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 350.12  after 30 days
 308.46 30 days 350.12 
ABOUT 65.19%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Fair Isaac to stay under $ 350.12  after 30 days from now is about 65.19% (This Fair Isaac Corproation probability density function shows the probability of Fair Isaac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Fair Isaac Corproation price to stay between its current price of $ 308.46  and $ 350.12  at the end of the 30-day period is about 17.64%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Fair Isaac has beta of 0.7183 suggesting as returns on market go up, Fair Isaac average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Fair Isaac Corproation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0416 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0416% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Fair Isaac Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.72
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.017122

Fair Isaac Alerts and Suggestions

Fair Isaac has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company currently holds 822.58M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 306.5 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fair Isaac Corproation has Current Ratio of 0.93 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due.
Over 86.0% of Fair Isaac shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from eglobalist.com: Comparison Analysis Of Fair Isaac Corporation and At TimkenSteel Corporation - E Globalist

Fair IsaacPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.91%
Short Percent Of Float2.21%
Float Shares28.06M
Shares Short Prior Month603.29k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day295.34k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month230.21k
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2019
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