Jackson Financial Stock Price Prediction
| JXN Stock | USD 71.01 2.39 3.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.56 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.14 | EPS Estimate Current Year 17.24 | EPS Estimate Next Year 18.2 | Wall Street Target Price 74.75 |
Using Jackson Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jackson Financial from the perspective of Jackson Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jackson Financial using Jackson Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jackson using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jackson Financial's stock price.
Jackson Financial Short Interest
An investor who is long Jackson Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Jackson Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Jackson Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 53.1541 | Short Percent 0.0549 | Short Ratio 5.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 4 M | 50 Day MA 71.19 |
Jackson Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jackson Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jackson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jackson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jackson Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jackson Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jackson Financial.
Jackson Financial Implied Volatility | 32.41 |
Jackson Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jackson Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jackson Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jackson Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jackson Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jackson Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jackson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jackson Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 70.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Jackson contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Jackson Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.03% per day over the life of the 2024-06-21 option contract. With Jackson Financial trading at USD 71.01, that is roughly USD 1.44 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Jackson Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Jackson Financial options at the current volatility level of 32.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jackson Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jackson Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jackson Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jackson Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jackson Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jackson Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jackson Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jackson Financial's historical news coverage. Jackson Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.85 and 72.79, respectively. We have considered Jackson Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jackson Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jackson Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jackson Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jackson Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jackson Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jackson Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.97 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71.01 | 70.82 | 0.27 |
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Jackson Financial Hype Timeline
On the 12th of June 2024 Jackson Financial is traded for 71.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Jackson is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 70.82. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Jackson Financial is about 824.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.95. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.5. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Jackson Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 38.81. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of June 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Jackson Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jackson Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jackson Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jackson Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Jackson Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jackson Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRU | Prudential Financial | (1.39) | 11 per month | 1.06 | 0.06 | 1.53 | (1.40) | 4.59 | |
| MET | MetLife | 1.07 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.66 | (1.79) | 4.09 | |
| UNM | Unum Group | (0.08) | 12 per month | 1.20 | (0.0002) | 1.24 | (1.65) | 5.13 | |
| MFC | Manulife Financial Corp | 0.13 | 11 per month | 0.97 | 0.13 | 1.71 | (1.59) | 7.30 | |
| PUK | Prudential Public Limited | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.30 | (2.99) | 9.93 | |
| CNO | CNO Financial Group | (0.05) | 13 per month | 1.39 | 0.01 | 2.00 | (2.06) | 5.08 | |
| NWLI | National Western Life | 0.15 | 7 per month | 0.13 | 0.08 | 0.27 | (0.24) | 1.21 | |
| BHFAP | Brighthouse Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.55 | (2.36) | 4.74 | |
| FG | FG Annuities Life | (2.06) | 8 per month | 2.45 | 0.06 | 4.02 | (4.75) | 11.60 | |
| MET-PA | MetLife Preferred Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.57 | 0.08 | 0.86 | (0.84) | 3.32 |
Jackson Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jackson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jackson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jackson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Jackson Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jackson Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jackson Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jackson Financial based on analysis of Jackson Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jackson Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jackson Financial's related companies. | 2020 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.41 | Dividend Yield | 0.0135 | 0.0625 | 0.0563 |
Story Coverage note for Jackson Financial
The number of cover stories for Jackson Financial depends on current market conditions and Jackson Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jackson Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jackson Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jackson Financial Short Properties
Jackson Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jackson Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jackson Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jackson Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jackson Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.1 B |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Jackson Stock
When determining whether Jackson Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Jackson Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Jackson Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Jackson Financial Stock:Check out Jackson Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Jackson Stock, please use our How to Invest in Jackson Financial guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Diversified Financial Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jackson Financial. If investors know Jackson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jackson Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.56 | Dividend Share 2.56 | Earnings Share 38.81 | Revenue Per Share 44.648 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of Jackson Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jackson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jackson Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jackson Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jackson Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jackson Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jackson Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jackson Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jackson Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.