Bit Digital Stock Price Prediction
| BTBT Stock | USD 2.61 0.20 7.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bit Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bit Digital from the perspective of Bit Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bit Digital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bit Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 2.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bit |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bit Digital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bit Digital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bit Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bit Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bit Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bit Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bit Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bit Digital's historical news coverage. Bit Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 8.72, respectively. We have considered Bit Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bit Digital is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bit Digital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bit Digital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bit Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bit Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bit Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 6.11 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.61 | 2.61 | 0.00 |
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Bit Digital Hype Timeline
Bit Digital is currently traded for 2.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Bit is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bit Digital is about 25158.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.62. About 41.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bit Digital had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Bit Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bit Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bit Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bit Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Bit Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bit Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HUT | Hut 8 Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.76 | 0.11 | 11.97 | (7.46) | 26.10 | |
| HIVE | HIVE Blockchain Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.75 | (5.96) | 18.73 | |
| CLSK | CleanSpark | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.81 | 0.01 | 11.46 | (8.22) | 35.20 | |
| WULF | Terawulf | 0.16 | 6 per month | 4.24 | 0.13 | 12.66 | (7.60) | 44.39 | |
| MARA | Marathon Digital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.75 | 0.01 | 11.79 | (8.47) | 30.65 | |
| BITF | Bitfarms | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 9.09 | (6.36) | 19.77 | |
| RIOT | Riot Blockchain | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.12 | (7.50) | 33.62 |
Bit Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bit Digital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bit Digital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bit Digital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bit Digital based on analysis of Bit Digital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bit Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bit Digital's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bit Digital
The number of cover stories for Bit Digital depends on current market conditions and Bit Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bit Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bit Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bit Digital Short Properties
Bit Digital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bit Digital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bit Digital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bit Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bit Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 87.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64.8 M |
Additional Tools for Bit Stock Analysis
When running Bit Digital's price analysis, check to measure Bit Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bit Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Bit Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bit Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bit Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bit Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.