Brinks Company Stock Price Prediction
| BCO Stock | USD 101.48 0.42 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
76
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.463 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.39 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.59 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.3 | Wall Street Target Price 109.5 |
Using Brinks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brinks Company from the perspective of Brinks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brinks using Brinks' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brinks using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brinks' stock price.
Brinks Short Interest
An investor who is long Brinks may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Brinks and may potentially protect profits, hedge Brinks with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 82.7011 | Short Percent 0.0396 | Short Ratio 4.64 | Shares Short Prior Month 1 M | 50 Day MA 93.7098 |
Brinks Company Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Brinks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brinks. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brinks can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brinks Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Brinks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Brinks.
Brinks Implied Volatility | 26.96 |
Brinks' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brinks Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brinks' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brinks stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brinks' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Brinks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Brinks because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Brinks after-hype prediction price | USD 101.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Brinks contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Brinks Company will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.68% per day over the life of the 2024-06-21 option contract. With Brinks trading at USD 101.48, that is roughly USD 1.71 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Brinks' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Brinks Company options at the current volatility level of 26.96%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Brinks |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brinks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brinks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brinks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brinks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brinks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brinks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brinks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brinks' historical news coverage. Brinks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 99.93 and 102.61, respectively. We have considered Brinks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brinks is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brinks Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brinks Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brinks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brinks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brinks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.34 | 0.21 | 0.06 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
101.48 | 101.27 | 0.21 |
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Brinks Hype Timeline
On the 11th of June 2024 Brinks Company is traded for 101.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Brinks is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 101.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 183.56%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Brinks is about 696.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 101.54. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.83. Brinks Company last dividend was issued on the 10th of May 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Brinks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Brinks Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brinks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brinks' future price movements. Getting to know how Brinks' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brinks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LSEA | Landsea Homes Corp | 0.24 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.96 | (6.15) | 18.25 | |
| FOR | Forestar Group | 0.40 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.66 | (4.68) | 14.68 | |
| FPH | Five Point Holdings | 0.03 | 10 per month | 1.91 | 0.01 | 4.47 | (3.07) | 10.82 | |
| ARL | American Realty Investors | 0.1 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.32 | (5.28) | 12.27 |
Brinks Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brinks price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brinks using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brinks charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Brinks Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Brinks stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brinks Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brinks based on analysis of Brinks hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Brinks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Brinks's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0148 | 0.009746 | 0.014 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.56 | 0.83 | 0.43 |
Story Coverage note for Brinks
The number of cover stories for Brinks depends on current market conditions and Brinks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brinks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brinks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brinks Short Properties
Brinks' future price predictability will typically decrease when Brinks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brinks Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brinks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brinks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Brinks Stock
When determining whether Brinks Company offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Brinks' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Brinks Company Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Brinks Company Stock:Check out Brinks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brinks. If investors know Brinks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brinks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.463 | Dividend Share 0.88 | Earnings Share 2.62 | Revenue Per Share 107.716 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.043 |
The market value of Brinks Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brinks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brinks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brinks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brinks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brinks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brinks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brinks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brinks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.