Correlation Between UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra Gold, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in UBS ETRACS with a short position of ProShares Ultra. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra.

Diversification Opportunities for UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra

-0.76
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between UBS and ProShares is -0.76. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra Gold in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares Ultra Gold and UBS ETRACS is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on UBS ETRACS are associated (or correlated) with ProShares Ultra. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares Ultra Gold has no effect on the direction of UBS ETRACS i.e., UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra

Given the investment horizon of 90 days UBS ETRACS is expected to generate 1.39 times more return on investment than ProShares Ultra. However, UBS ETRACS is 1.39 times more volatile than ProShares Ultra Gold. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares Ultra Gold is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,296  in UBS ETRACS on February 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  208.00  from holding UBS ETRACS or generate 16.05% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

UBS ETRACS   vs.  ProShares Ultra Gold

 Performance 
       Timeline  
UBS ETRACS 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days UBS ETRACS has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Etf's forward indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in June 2024. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.
ProShares Ultra Gold 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares Ultra Gold are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting technical and fundamental indicators, ProShares Ultra disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra

The main advantage of trading using opposite UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if UBS ETRACS position performs unexpectedly, ProShares Ultra can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares Ultra will offset losses from the drop in ProShares Ultra's long position.
The idea behind UBS ETRACS and ProShares Ultra Gold pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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