Correlation Between Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Mid Cap Index and ProShares UltraShort MidCap400, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Mid with a short position of ProShares UltraShort. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort

-0.99
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and ProShares is -0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Mid Cap Index and ProShares UltraShort MidCap400 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraShort and Vanguard Mid is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Mid Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraShort. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraShort has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Mid i.e., Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Vanguard Mid Cap Index is expected to under-perform the ProShares UltraShort. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vanguard Mid Cap Index is 2.27 times less risky than ProShares UltraShort. The etf trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ProShares UltraShort MidCap400 is currently generating about 0.19 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,086  in ProShares UltraShort MidCap400 on February 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  81.00  from holding ProShares UltraShort MidCap400 or generate 7.46% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Mid Cap Index  vs.  ProShares UltraShort MidCap400

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Mid Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Mid Cap Index are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Vanguard Mid is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
ProShares UltraShort 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraShort MidCap400 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Etf's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the ETF investors.

Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Mid position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraShort can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraShort will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraShort's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Mid Cap Index and ProShares UltraShort MidCap400 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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