Correlation Between Vanguard Long-term and Us Government

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Long-term and Us Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Long-term and Us Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Long Term Government and Us Government Securities, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Long-term and Us Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Long-term with a short position of Us Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Long-term and Us Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Long-term and Us Government

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and CGTFX is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Long Term Government and Us Government Securities in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Us Government Securities and Vanguard Long-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Long Term Government are associated (or correlated) with Us Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Us Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Long-term i.e., Vanguard Long-term and Us Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Long-term and Us Government

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Long Term Government is expected to under-perform the Us Government. In addition to that, Vanguard Long-term is 1.95 times more volatile than Us Government Securities. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Us Government Securities is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,172  in Us Government Securities on February 15, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3.00  from holding Us Government Securities or generate 0.26% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Long Term Government  vs.  Us Government Securities

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Long Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Long Term Government has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Long-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Us Government Securities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Us Government Securities has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Us Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Long-term and Us Government Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Long-term and Us Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Long-term and Us Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Long-term position performs unexpectedly, Us Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Us Government will offset losses from the drop in Us Government's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Long Term Government and Us Government Securities pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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