Correlation Between Vale SA and Glencore PLC

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vale SA and Glencore PLC at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vale SA and Glencore PLC into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vale SA ADR and Glencore PLC, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vale SA and Glencore PLC and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vale SA with a short position of Glencore PLC. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vale SA and Glencore PLC.

Diversification Opportunities for Vale SA and Glencore PLC

-0.21
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vale and Glencore is -0.21. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vale SA ADR and Glencore PLC in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Glencore PLC and Vale SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vale SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Glencore PLC. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Glencore PLC has no effect on the direction of Vale SA i.e., Vale SA and Glencore PLC go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vale SA and Glencore PLC

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vale SA ADR is expected to under-perform the Glencore PLC. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vale SA ADR is 1.08 times less risky than Glencore PLC. The stock trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Glencore PLC is currently generating about 0.28 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  467.00  in Glencore PLC on February 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  150.00  from holding Glencore PLC or generate 32.12% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vale SA ADR  vs.  Glencore PLC

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vale SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vale SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound essential indicators, Vale SA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Glencore PLC 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

21 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Glencore PLC are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Glencore PLC reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Vale SA and Glencore PLC Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vale SA and Glencore PLC

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vale SA and Glencore PLC positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vale SA position performs unexpectedly, Glencore PLC can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Glencore PLC will offset losses from the drop in Glencore PLC's long position.
The idea behind Vale SA ADR and Glencore PLC pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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