Correlation Between Home Federal and Century Aluminum

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and Century Aluminum at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and Century Aluminum into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and Century Aluminum, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and Century Aluminum and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of Century Aluminum. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and Century Aluminum.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and Century Aluminum

-0.76
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Home and Century is -0.76. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and Century Aluminum in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Century Aluminum and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Century Aluminum. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Century Aluminum has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and Century Aluminum go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and Century Aluminum

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Century Aluminum. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Home Federal Bancorp is 1.21 times less risky than Century Aluminum. The stock trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Century Aluminum is currently generating about 0.42 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,053  in Century Aluminum on February 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  682.00  from holding Century Aluminum or generate 64.77% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy92.68%
ValuesDaily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  Century Aluminum

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Home Federal Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in June 2024. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Century Aluminum 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

19 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Century Aluminum are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly uncertain basic indicators, Century Aluminum showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Home Federal and Century Aluminum Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Home Federal and Century Aluminum

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and Century Aluminum positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, Century Aluminum can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Century Aluminum will offset losses from the drop in Century Aluminum's long position.
The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and Century Aluminum pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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