Correlation Between First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Northwest Bancorp and Cullman Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Northwest with a short position of Cullman Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp

0.19
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Cullman is 0.19. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Northwest Bancorp and Cullman Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cullman Bancorp and First Northwest is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Northwest Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Cullman Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cullman Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Northwest i.e., First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Northwest Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Cullman Bancorp. In addition to that, First Northwest is 4.27 times more volatile than Cullman Bancorp. It trades about -0.37 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Cullman Bancorp is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,014  in Cullman Bancorp on February 6, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding Cullman Bancorp or generate 0.69% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy85.71%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Northwest Bancorp  vs.  Cullman Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Northwest Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days First Northwest Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in June 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Cullman Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Cullman Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent essential indicators, Cullman Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Northwest and Cullman Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Northwest position performs unexpectedly, Cullman Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cullman Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Cullman Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind First Northwest Bancorp and Cullman Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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