Correlation Between First Financial and ESSA Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Financial and ESSA Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Financial and ESSA Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Financial Northwest and ESSA Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Financial and ESSA Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Financial with a short position of ESSA Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Financial and ESSA Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for First Financial and ESSA Bancorp

0.57
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and ESSA is 0.57. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Financial Northwest and ESSA Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ESSA Bancorp and First Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Financial Northwest are associated (or correlated) with ESSA Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ESSA Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Financial i.e., First Financial and ESSA Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Financial and ESSA Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Financial Northwest is expected to under-perform the ESSA Bancorp. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, First Financial Northwest is 4.08 times less risky than ESSA Bancorp. The stock trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ESSA Bancorp is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,755  in ESSA Bancorp on February 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (35.00) from holding ESSA Bancorp or give up 1.99% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Financial Northwest  vs.  ESSA Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Financial Northwest 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days First Financial Northwest has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, First Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ESSA Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

First Financial and ESSA Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Financial and ESSA Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Financial and ESSA Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Financial position performs unexpectedly, ESSA Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ESSA Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in ESSA Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind First Financial Northwest and ESSA Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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