Correlation Between Government Bond and Ginnie Mae

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Government Bond and Ginnie Mae at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Government Bond and Ginnie Mae into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Government Bond Fund and Ginnie Mae Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Government Bond and Ginnie Mae and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Government Bond with a short position of Ginnie Mae. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Government Bond and Ginnie Mae.

Diversification Opportunities for Government Bond and Ginnie Mae

0.9
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Government and Ginnie is 0.9. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Government Bond Fund and Ginnie Mae Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ginnie Mae Fund and Government Bond is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Government Bond Fund are associated (or correlated) with Ginnie Mae. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ginnie Mae Fund has no effect on the direction of Government Bond i.e., Government Bond and Ginnie Mae go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Government Bond and Ginnie Mae

Assuming the 90 days horizon Government Bond Fund is expected to generate 0.78 times more return on investment than Ginnie Mae. However, Government Bond Fund is 1.27 times less risky than Ginnie Mae. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ginnie Mae Fund is currently generating about 0.19 per unit of risk. If you would invest  915.00  in Government Bond Fund on March 9, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  16.00  from holding Government Bond Fund or generate 1.75% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Government Bond Fund  vs.  Ginnie Mae Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Government Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Government Bond Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Government Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Ginnie Mae Fund 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ginnie Mae Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong primary indicators, Ginnie Mae is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Government Bond and Ginnie Mae Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Government Bond and Ginnie Mae

The main advantage of trading using opposite Government Bond and Ginnie Mae positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Government Bond position performs unexpectedly, Ginnie Mae can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ginnie Mae will offset losses from the drop in Ginnie Mae's long position.
The idea behind Government Bond Fund and Ginnie Mae Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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