William Penn Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

WMPN Stock  USD 12.13  0.13  1.08%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding William Penn Bancorp is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides William Penn buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding WMPN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of William Penn's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting William Penn's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
12.11
Target Price
14
Hype Value
12.13
Market Value
12.13
Naive Value
12.03
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell William Penn Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards William Penn. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for William Penn Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out William Penn Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as William and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards William Penn Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute William Penn Buy or Sell Advice

The William recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on William Penn Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in William Penn Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute William Penn's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell William PennBuy William Penn
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon William Penn Bancorp has a Mean Deviation of 0.6668, Semi Deviation of 0.7637, Standard Deviation of 0.8676, Variance of 0.7527, Downside Variance of 0.6808 and Semi Variance of 0.5832
Our recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on William Penn Bancorp and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure William Penn Bancorp is not overpriced, please check out all William Penn Bancorp fundamentals, including its price to sales, short ratio, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and market capitalization . Given that William Penn Bancorp has a number of shares shorted of 116.05 K, we strongly advise you to confirm William Penn Bancorp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevalent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

William Penn Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

William Penn Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
On 9th of May 2024 William Penn paid $ 0.03 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 25280 shares by Kenneth Stephon of William Penn subject to Rule 16b-3

William Penn Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of William Penn's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of William Penn's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of William Penn daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use William Penn Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of William Penn returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for William Penn.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-1.31
Potential Upside
1.63
Standard Deviation
0.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of William Penn historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

William Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as William Penn is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading William Penn Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. William Penn's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase William Penn's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Qube Research & Technologies2023-12-31
27.7 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2023-12-31
27.3 K
Raymond James & Associates2023-12-31
27.2 K
Man Group Plc2023-12-31
22.6 K
Citigroup Inc2024-03-31
22.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
20 K
Gsa Capital Partners Llp2024-03-31
19.9 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2023-12-31
19.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
18.8 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-03-31
501.1 K
Deprince Race & Zollo Inc2024-03-31
261.1 K
Note, although William Penn's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

William Penn Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash56.7M85.8M(132.6M)(15.4M)(13.8M)(13.1M)
Free Cash Flow(1.7M)(1.1M)4.0M4.7M4.2M4.5M
Depreciation824K1.2M1.2M1.2M1.4M1.5M
Other Non Cash Items(4.2M)(3.9M)1.1M(23.4M)(21.1M)(20.0M)
Capital Expenditures1.8M890K855K344K395.6K493.1K
Net Income1.3M3.8M4.2M2.8M3.2M2.8M
End Period Cash Flow82.9M168.7M36.2M20.8M23.9M33.5M
Investments(59.2M)(34.3M)(195.0M)10.5M9.4M9.9M
Net Borrowings(2.0M)(23.2M)24M(31M)(27.9M)(26.5M)
Change To Netincome(4.7M)(2.5M)(13K)1.0M932.4K979.0K
Dividends Paid(2.0M)(1.9M)(5.1M)(1.6M)(1.4M)(1.4M)

William Penn Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to William Penn or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that William Penn's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a William stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

William Penn Volatility Alert

William Penn Bancorp has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of -0.08, Maximum Drawdown of 3.67 and kurtosis of -0.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure William Penn's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact William Penn's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

William Penn Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing William Penn's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze William Penn's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between William Penn and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as William Penn or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of William Penn's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing William Penn by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare William Penn to competition
FundamentalsWilliam PennPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0057-0.31
Return On Asset0.001-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation169.13 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding9.44 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders20.43 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions19.84 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted116.05 K4.71 M
Price To Earning92.88 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.33 X11.42 X
Revenue24.62 M9.43 B
Gross Profit25.08 M27.38 B
EBITDA3.2 M3.9 B
Net Income2.8 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents19.72 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt43.11 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share13.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.06 M971.22 M
Short Ratio12.27 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.08 X3.12 X
Target Price14.0
Number Of Employees9318.84 K
Beta0.48-0.15
Market Capitalization113.23 M19.03 B
Total Asset847.58 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings58.8 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset847.58 M
Last Dividend Paid0.12
Note: Disposition of 25280 shares by Kenneth Stephon of William Penn subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

William Penn Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as William . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About William Penn Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell William Penn Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as William Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity192.3M160.7M184.9M194.1M
Total Assets880.0M847.6M974.7M1.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having William Penn in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Insurance
Insurance Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Insurance theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Insurance Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether William Penn Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of William Penn's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of William Penn Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on William Penn Bancorp Stock:
Check out William Penn Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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Is William Penn's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of William Penn. If investors know William will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about William Penn listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.631
Dividend Share
0.12
Earnings Share
0.08
Revenue Per Share
2.185
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of William Penn Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of William that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of William Penn's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is William Penn's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because William Penn's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect William Penn's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between William Penn's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if William Penn is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, William Penn's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.