Toyota Motor Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TM Stock | USD 218.78 8.46 3.72% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Toyota Motor is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Toyota buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Toyota positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Toyota's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Toyota's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 208.57 | Target Price 189.36 | Hype Value 218.81 | Market Value 218.78 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Toyota Motor given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Toyota. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Toyota Motor, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Toyota |
Execute Toyota Buy or Sell Advice
The Toyota recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Toyota Motor. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Toyota Motor or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Toyota's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Toyota Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Toyota Motor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Toyota Motor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from channelnewsasia.com: Rallying-Rovanpera leads Ogier by a single second in Portugal |
Toyota Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Toyota's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Toyota's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Toyota daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Toyota Motor price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Toyota returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Toyota.
| Mean Return | -0.02 | Value At Risk | -3.03 | Potential Upside | 2.28 | Standard Deviation | 1.54 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Toyota historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Toyota Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Toyota is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Toyota Motor backward and forwards among themselves. Toyota's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Toyota's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Srb Corp | 2023-12-31 | 333.2 K | Clark Capital Management Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 330.4 K | Natixis Advisors, Llc. | 2023-12-31 | 283.6 K | Stifel Financial Corp | 2023-12-31 | 276.8 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 245.7 K | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 240.7 K | Captrust Financial Advisors | 2023-12-31 | 209.3 K | Envestnet Asset Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 185 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 170.1 K | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 6.2 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2 M |
Toyota Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (114.1B) | (242.8B) | (725.3B) | (350.6B) | (207.5B) | (197.2B) | |
| Change In Cash | 705.7B | 1.0T | 1.0T | 1.4T | 3.5T | 3.6T | |
| Free Cash Flow | (4.5B) | (1.0T) | (107.6B) | (750.8B) | (842.0B) | (799.9B) | |
| Depreciation | 1.6T | 1.6T | 1.8T | 2.0T | 2.1T | 1.2T | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (35.5B) | (236.9B) | (959.1B) | (1.3T) | 5.8T | 6.1T | |
| Dividends Paid | 630.0B | 625.5B | 709.9B | 728.0B | (880.2B) | (836.2B) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.6T | 3.8T | 3.8T | 3.7T | 5.0T | 5.3T | |
| Net Income | 2.1T | 2.3T | 2.9T | 2.5T | 4.9T | 5.2T | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 4.4T | 5.1T | 6.1T | 7.5T | 9.4T | 9.9T | |
| Change To Netincome | 143.1B | 222.8B | (98.8B) | 181.3B | 208.5B | 218.9B | |
| Investments | 233.4B | (667.3B) | (577.5B) | (1.6T) | (1.8T) | (1.9T) | |
| Net Borrowings | 723.0B | 1.6T | 3.2T | (1.3T) | (1.5T) | (1.4T) |
Toyota Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Toyota or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Toyota's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Toyota stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Toyota Volatility Alert
Toyota Motor exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.44 and kurtosis of -0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Toyota's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Toyota's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Toyota Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Toyota's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Toyota's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Toyota and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Toyota or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Toyota's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toyota by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Toyota to competition |
| Fundamentals | Toyota | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0407 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.10 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 26.41 T | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.35 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.47 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 520.07 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.34 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.54 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.01 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 45.1 T | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.97 T | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 7.44 T | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 4.94 T | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 7.52 T | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 36.56 T | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.03 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.06 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2,539 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.21 T | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.85 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 23.54 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.50 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 232.32 | |
| Beta | 0.51 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 296.83 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 90.11 T | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 32.8 T | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.5 T | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 18.21 T | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 16.12 T | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % |
Toyota Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Toyota . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0132 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (2.90) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 219.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 219.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (5.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (8.46) |
About Toyota Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Toyota Motor? Buying financial instruments such as Toyota Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 26.5T | 29.4T | 36.6T | 38.4T | Total Assets | 67.7T | 74.3T | 90.1T | 94.6T |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Toyota in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Health Management
Major hospitals and healthcare providers. The Health Management theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Health Management Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Toyota Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Complementary Tools for Toyota Stock analysis
When running Toyota's price analysis, check to measure Toyota's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toyota is operating at the current time. Most of Toyota's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toyota's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toyota's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toyota to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Toyota's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toyota. If investors know Toyota will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toyota listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.82 | Earnings Share 23.54 | Revenue Per Share 2.1 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.143 | Return On Assets 0.0407 |
The market value of Toyota Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toyota that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toyota's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toyota's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toyota's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toyota's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toyota's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toyota is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toyota's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.