Tilray Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
TLRY Stock | USD 1.98 0.07 3.41% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tilray Inc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Tilray buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Tilray positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Tilray's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Tilray's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.77 | Target Price 2.67 | Hype Value 1.98 | Market Value 1.98 | Naive Value 2.59 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Tilray Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Tilray. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Tilray Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Tilray |
Execute Tilray Buy or Sell Advice
The Tilray recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tilray Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tilray Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tilray's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Tilray Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Tilray Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Tilray Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
Tilray Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 627.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.44 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 116.82 M. | |
Latest headline from talkmarkets.com: The Canadian Cannabis Report- Monday, May, 6 |
Tilray Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Tilray's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tilray's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tilray daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tilray Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tilray returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tilray.
Mean Return | 0.35 | Value At Risk | -6.35 | Potential Upside | 10.98 | Standard Deviation | 7.75 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tilray historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Tilray Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tilray or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tilray's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tilray stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Tilray Volatility Alert
Tilray Inc is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tilray's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tilray's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Tilray Implied Volatility
Tilray's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tilray Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tilray's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tilray stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tilray's options are near their expiration.
Tilray Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Tilray's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tilray's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tilray and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tilray or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tilray's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tilray by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Tilray to competition |
Fundamentals | Tilray | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | -0.0969 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | -0.0167 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | (0.47) % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | (0.17) % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 1.75 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 806.16 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.27 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 10.53 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 118.73 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 9.44 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 0.42 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 1.90 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 627.12 M | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 116.82 M | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | (114.91 M) | 3.9 B |
Net Income | (1.44 B) | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 490.64 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 0.80 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 590.13 M | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 3.33 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 4.34 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 7.91 M | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 2.36 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | (0.44) X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.56) X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 2.36 | |
Number Of Employees | 1.6 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 2.46 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 1.57 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 4.31 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | (2.42 B) | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 340.05 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Irwin Simon of 2772 shares of Tilray subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Tilray Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tilray . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Tilray Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Tilray Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Tilray Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 119.1M | 18.0M | 17.1M | Total Assets | 5.4B | 4.3B | 4.5B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Tilray in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Industrials ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Industrials ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Industrials ETFs theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Industrials ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Tilray Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Complementary Tools for Tilray Stock analysis
When running Tilray's price analysis, check to measure Tilray's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tilray is operating at the current time. Most of Tilray's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tilray's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tilray's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tilray to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tilray's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tilray. If investors know Tilray will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tilray listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.44) | Revenue Per Share 1.042 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.294 | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity (0.1) |
The market value of Tilray Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tilray that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tilray's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tilray's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tilray's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tilray's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tilray's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tilray is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tilray's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.