Shyft Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SHYF Stock | USD 12.76 0.19 1.51% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Shyft Group is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Shyft buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Shyft positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Shyft's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Shyft's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 14.07 | Target Price 18 | Hype Value 12.71 | Market Value 12.76 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Shyft Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Shyft. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Shyft Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Shyft |
Execute Shyft Buy or Sell Advice
The Shyft recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Shyft Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Shyft Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Shyft's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Shyft Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Shyft Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Shyft Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1666 shares by Scott Ocholik of Shyft at 12.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Shyft Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Shyft's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Shyft's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Shyft daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Shyft Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Shyft returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Shyft.
| Mean Return | 0.24 | Value At Risk | -4.92 | Potential Upside | 5.38 | Standard Deviation | 3.53 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Shyft historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Shyft Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Shyft is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shyft Group backward and forwards among themselves. Shyft's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Shyft's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Schwerin Boyle Capital Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 582.7 K | Orchard Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 548.6 K | Pnc Financial Services Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 535.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 514.2 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 488.9 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 467.2 K | Centaurus Financial Inc | 2023-12-31 | 444.7 K | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 438.1 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 425 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.6 M | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M |
Shyft Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (8.1M) | 1.6M | 16.2M | (25.6M) | (1.6M) | (1.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 24.1M | 49.8M | 51.0M | (39.4M) | 35.5M | 37.3M | |
| Depreciation | 11.2M | 14.2M | 11.4M | 14.8M | 17.0M | 17.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 54.0M | 5.8M | (110K) | 826K | 389K | 408.5K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 10.0M | 14.5M | 23.0M | 20.6M | 20.7M | 21.8M | |
| Net Income | (12.4M) | 33.2M | 70.2M | 36.6M | 6.5M | 9.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 19.3M | 21.0M | 37.2M | 11.5M | 10.0M | 16.1M | |
| Change To Inventory | (14.8M) | 12.8M | (20.8M) | (33.0M) | (5.0M) | (4.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.6M | 3.6M | 3.6M | 7.1M | 7.1M | 7.5M | |
| Investments | (99.0M) | 14.9M | (22.1M) | (20.4M) | (22.9M) | (24.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 61.8M | (65M) | (22.4M) | 56M | 64.4M | 67.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 45.4M | 37.1M | 10.7M | 2.9M | 3.4M | 3.2M |
Shyft Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Shyft or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Shyft's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Shyft stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Shyft Volatility Alert
Shyft Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Shyft's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Shyft's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Shyft Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Shyft's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Shyft's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Shyft and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Shyft or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Shyft's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shyft by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Shyft to competition |
| Fundamentals | Shyft | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 5.0E-4 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0013 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.0001 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.01) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 547.77 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 34.37 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.24 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 91.53 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.15 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 15.13 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.57 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.45 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 872.2 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 180.43 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 24.18 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 6.46 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.86 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.08 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 132.37 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.58 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.76 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.18 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 56.24 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.55 X | 4.00 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.33 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 13.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.67 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.68 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 432.61 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 530.05 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 158.46 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 104.1 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % |
Note: Disposition of 1666 shares by Scott Ocholik of Shyft at 12.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Shyft Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Shyft . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.095 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.19 |
About Shyft Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Shyft Group? Buying financial instruments such as Shyft Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 55.2M | 131.1M | 132.4M | 139.0M | Total Assets | 447.9M | 580.5M | 530.0M | 556.6M |
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Check out Shyft Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Shyft Stock analysis
When running Shyft's price analysis, check to measure Shyft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shyft is operating at the current time. Most of Shyft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shyft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shyft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shyft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Shyft's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shyft. If investors know Shyft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shyft listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | Dividend Share 0.2 | Revenue Per Share 23.936 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets 0.0013 |
The market value of Shyft Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shyft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shyft's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shyft's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shyft's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shyft's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shyft's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shyft is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shyft's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.