Surgery Partners Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SGRY Stock  USD 26.63  0.83  3.22%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Surgery Partners is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Surgery Partners buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SGRY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Surgery Partners' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Surgery Partners' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
31.67
Target Price
46.78
Hype Value
26.65
Market Value
26.63
Naive Value
26.15
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Surgery Partners given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Surgery Partners. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Surgery Partners, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Surgery Partners Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Surgery Stock please use our How to Invest in Surgery Partners guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Surgery and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Surgery Partners. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Surgery Partners Buy or Sell Advice

The Surgery recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Surgery Partners. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Surgery Partners or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Surgery Partners' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Surgery PartnersBuy Surgery Partners
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Surgery Partners has a Mean Deviation of 1.99, Standard Deviation of 2.54 and Variance of 6.46
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Surgery Partners. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Surgery Partners is not overpriced, please validate all Surgery Partners fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Surgery Partners has a price to earning of 61.84 X, we advise you to double-check Surgery Partners market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Surgery Partners Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Surgery Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.74 B. Net Loss for the year was (11.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 574.9 M.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Surgery Partners, Inc.s Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stocks Recent Weakness

Surgery Partners Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Surgery Partners' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Surgery Partners' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Surgery Partners daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Surgery Partners price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Surgery Partners returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Surgery Partners.
Mean Return
-0.26
Value At Risk
-3.74
Potential Upside
4.36
Standard Deviation
2.54
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Surgery Partners historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Surgery Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Surgery Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Surgery Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Surgery Partners' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Surgery Partners' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corporation2024-03-31
1.7 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-03-31
1.7 M
Avidity Partners Management Lp2024-03-31
1.4 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-03-31
M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
M
Rock Springs Capital Management Lp2024-03-31
985 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
805.4 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-03-31
741.6 K
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-03-31
660.1 K
Bain Capital Investors Llc2024-03-31
49.9 M
Fmr Inc2024-03-31
19 M
Note, although Surgery Partners' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Surgery Partners Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(91.6M)225.2M71.7M(107M)(87M)(82.7M)
Free Cash Flow55.9M204M29.5M78.2M205M215.3M
Depreciation76.5M94.8M98.8M114.8M118.1M67.3M
Other Non Cash Items58M83.6M40.4M77.4M235.1M246.9M
Capital Expenditures73.6M42.9M57.6M80.6M88.8M46.2M
Net Income45.1M1.3M70.7M87M(11.9M)(11.3M)
End Period Cash Flow93M318.2M389.9M282.9M195.9M160.9M
Dividends Paid7.8M121.2M109.6M5.1M146.8M0.0
Net Borrowings7.2M204.6M(55.5M)(644.2M)(579.8M)(550.8M)
Change To Netincome38.6M25.3M35.6M45.9M41.3M54.4M
Change Receivables(23.5M)(46.6M)(32.1M)(35.3M)(40.6M)(42.6M)
Investments(15.2M)(88.4M)(331.7M)(82.3M)(239.7M)(251.7M)

Surgery Partners Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Surgery Partners or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Surgery Partners' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Surgery stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.28
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.43
σ
Overall volatility
2.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Surgery Partners Volatility Alert

Surgery Partners exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.83 and kurtosis of 1.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Surgery Partners' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Surgery Partners' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Surgery Partners Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Surgery Partners' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Surgery Partners' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Surgery Partners and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Surgery Partners or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Surgery Partners' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Surgery Partners by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Surgery Partners to competition
FundamentalsSurgery PartnersPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0476-0.31
Return On Asset0.04-0.14
Profit Margin0.0002 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.73 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding127.09 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.09 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.91 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted9.71 M4.71 M
Price To Earning61.84 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.68 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.22 X11.42 X
Revenue2.74 B9.43 B
Gross Profit574.9 M27.38 B
EBITDA526.6 M3.9 B
Net Income(11.9 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents227.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.58 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.06 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.44 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.51 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.57 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations293.8 M971.22 M
Short Ratio8.96 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.01 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.66 X4.89 X
Target Price41.09
Number Of Employees10.5 K18.84 K
Beta2.76-0.15
Market Capitalization3.23 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.02 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(569.2 M)9.33 B
Working Capital372 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 721 shares by David Doherty of Surgery Partners at 28.59 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Surgery Partners Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Surgery . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Surgery Partners Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Surgery Partners? Buying financial instruments such as Surgery Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total3.3B2.9B3.1B2.5B
Total Assets6.1B6.7B7.0B4.6B

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Additional Tools for Surgery Stock Analysis

When running Surgery Partners' price analysis, check to measure Surgery Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Surgery Partners is operating at the current time. Most of Surgery Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Surgery Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Surgery Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Surgery Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.