Pinnacle West Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PNW Stock  USD 73.69  0.51  0.69%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Pinnacle West Capital is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Pinnacle West buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PNW positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Pinnacle West's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Pinnacle West's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
74.83
Target Price
77.55
Hype Value
73.64
Market Value
73.69
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Pinnacle West Capital given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Pinnacle West. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Pinnacle West Capital, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Pinnacle West Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Pinnacle and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Pinnacle West Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Pinnacle West Buy or Sell Advice

The Pinnacle recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pinnacle West Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pinnacle West Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pinnacle West's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Pinnacle WestBuy Pinnacle West
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Very StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Pinnacle West Capital has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0741, Jensen Alpha of 0.0659, Total Risk Alpha of (0.03), Sortino Ratio of 0.0414 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1549
Macroaxis provides unbiased recommendation on Pinnacle West Capital that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Pinnacle West Capital. Our trade recommendations engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Pinnacle West is not overpriced, please check all Pinnacle West Capital fundamentals, including its revenue, earnings per share, five year return, as well as the relationship between the total debt and total asset . Given that Pinnacle West Capital has a price to earning of 16.12 X, we recommend you to check out Pinnacle West Capital market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Pinnacle West Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has 10.3 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is OK given its current industry classification. Pinnacle West Capital has a current ratio of 0.96, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Pinnacle West until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pinnacle West's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pinnacle West Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pinnacle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pinnacle West's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Pinnacle West has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 94.0% of Pinnacle West shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 Pinnacle West paid $ 0.88 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: FirstEnergy Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Lag

Pinnacle West Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Pinnacle West's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pinnacle West's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pinnacle West daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pinnacle West Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pinnacle West returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pinnacle West.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
-2.04
Potential Upside
2.14
Standard Deviation
1.31
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pinnacle West historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Pinnacle Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Pinnacle West is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pinnacle West Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Pinnacle West's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Pinnacle West's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
1.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
1.4 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2023-12-31
1.2 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
1.2 M
Franklin Resources Inc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
991.4 K
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2023-12-31
984 K
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
931.3 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
14.3 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
10 M
Note, although Pinnacle West's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Pinnacle West Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(51.8M)11.6M(32.9M)(83.5M)(42.9M)(40.8M)
Change In Cash4.5M49.7M(50.0M)(5.1M)123K116.9K
Free Cash Flow(234.7M)(360.2M)(613.5M)(466.0M)(638.7M)(606.7M)
Other Non Cash Items(64.4M)(139.5M)(254.1M)(116.9M)(170.7M)(162.2M)
Dividends Paid329.6M350.6M369.5M378.9M(386.5M)(367.2M)
Capital Expenditures1.2B1.3B1.5B1.7B1.8B961.5M
Net Income557.8M570.1M635.9M500.8M518.8M387.8M
End Period Cash Flow10.3M60.0M10.0M4.8M5.0M4.7M
Change To Netincome76.7M(38.7M)(60.6M)(266.0M)(239.4M)(227.4M)
Depreciation664.1M686.3M719.1M817.8M854.1M591.4M
Investments(3.1M)(1.3B)(1.4B)(1.6B)(1.6B)(1.6B)
Change Receivables37.5M(12.8M)(18.2M)(72.6M)(83.4M)(79.3M)
Net Borrowings530.5M662.5M728.0M774.3M890.4M495.8M

Pinnacle West Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pinnacle West or Electric Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pinnacle West's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pinnacle stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.87
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Pinnacle West Volatility Alert

Pinnacle West Capital has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.21 and kurtosis of -0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pinnacle West's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pinnacle West's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Pinnacle West Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Pinnacle West's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pinnacle West's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pinnacle West and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pinnacle West or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pinnacle West's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pinnacle West by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Pinnacle West to competition
FundamentalsPinnacle WestPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0834-0.31
Return On Asset0.0228-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.76 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding113.56 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.16 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions93.71 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.15 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.12 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.33 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.75 X11.42 X
Revenue4.7 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.71 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.73 B3.9 B
Net Income518.78 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.83 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.06 X5.01 X
Total Debt10.3 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.35 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share54.47 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.21 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.92 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.41 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.64 X4.89 X
Target Price75.82
Number Of Employees6.13 K18.84 K
Beta0.48-0.15
Market Capitalization8.37 B19.03 B
Total Asset24.66 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.47 B9.33 B
Working Capital(962.38 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Tetlow Jacob of 1211 shares of Pinnacle West subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Pinnacle West Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pinnacle . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Pinnacle West Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Pinnacle West Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Pinnacle Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total8.2B8.9B10.3B10.8B
Total Assets22.0B22.7B24.7B14.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Pinnacle West in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment Thematic Idea Now

Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment
Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment theme has 16 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Pinnacle West Capital is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pinnacle West's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pinnacle West's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pinnacle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Pinnacle West Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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Is Pinnacle West's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pinnacle West. If investors know Pinnacle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pinnacle West listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.215
Dividend Share
3.475
Earnings Share
4.41
Revenue Per Share
41.396
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Pinnacle West Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pinnacle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pinnacle West's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pinnacle West's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pinnacle West's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pinnacle West's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pinnacle West's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pinnacle West is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pinnacle West's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.