Empire State Realty Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| OGCP Stock | USD 9.25 0.05 0.54% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Empire State Realty is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Empire State buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OGCP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Empire State's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Empire State's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 7.89 | Hype Value 9.25 | Market Value 9.25 | Naive Value 8.85 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Empire State Realty given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Empire State. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Empire State Realty, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Empire |
Execute Empire State Buy or Sell Advice
The Empire recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Empire State Realty. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Empire State Realty or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Empire State's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Empire State Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Empire State Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Empire State Realty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Empire State Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 1 in 24 New Yorkers are millionaires despite reports of rich Americans fleeing south. How does your city fare |
Empire State Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Empire State's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Empire State's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Empire State daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Empire State Realty price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Empire State returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Empire State.
| Mean Return | 0.02 | Value At Risk | -6.4 | Potential Upside | 5.26 | Standard Deviation | 3.14 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Empire State historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Empire State Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 784K | 296.3M | (93.3M) | (160.0M) | 92.3M | 96.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (17.7M) | 39.2M | 212.5M | 211.2M | 93.2M | 97.8M | |
| Depreciation | 182.1M | 195.2M | 203.7M | 220.0M | 189.9M | 140.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (24.5M) | (16.0M) | (10.2M) | (48.8M) | 414.1M | 434.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 126.0M | 60.9M | 28.6M | 38.6M | (26.9M) | (28.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 250.3M | 143.1M | 212.7M | 126.3M | 139.3M | 196.1M | |
| Net Income | 84.3M | (22.9M) | (13.0M) | 63.2M | 53.2M | 55.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 271.6M | 567.9M | 474.6M | 314.7M | 407.0M | 266.6M | |
| Change To Inventory | (4.0M) | (3.9M) | (2.9M) | 5.3M | 6.1M | 6.4M | |
| Investments | 149.7M | (143.1M) | (212.7M) | (230.9M) | (77.3M) | (81.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (253.8M) | 340.9M | (13.6M) | (7.5M) | (6.8M) | (6.4M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (5.7M) | 26.5M | 7.1M | (28.0M) | (32.2M) | (30.6M) |
Empire State Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Empire State or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Empire State's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Empire stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0079 |
Empire State Volatility Alert
Empire State Realty shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Empire State's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Empire State's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Empire State Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Empire State's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Empire State's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Empire State and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Empire State or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Empire State's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Empire State by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Empire State to competition |
| Fundamentals | Empire State | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0488 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.024 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.45 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 4.97 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 7.39 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 578 | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 62.33 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.54 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.31 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 739.57 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 385.65 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 336.62 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 53.24 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 363.51 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.32 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.27 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.39 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.57 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.55 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 232.49 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.63 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.29 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 666 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.35 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.53 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.22 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (83.11 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 496.95 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Net Asset | 4.22 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.11 |
Empire State Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Empire . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.25 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.025 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.05 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.0 |
About Empire State Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Empire State Realty? Buying financial instruments such as Empire Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 1.8B | Total Assets | 4.3B | 4.2B | 4.2B | 3.4B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Empire State in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Companies manufacturing rubber and plastics accessories. The Plastics theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Plastics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Empire State Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Empire State Realty information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Empire State's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Empire Stock analysis
When running Empire State's price analysis, check to measure Empire State's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empire State is operating at the current time. Most of Empire State's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empire State's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empire State's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empire State to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Empire State's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Empire State. If investors know Empire will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Empire State listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 0.105 | Earnings Share 0.29 | Revenue Per Share 2.867 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.101 |
The market value of Empire State Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Empire that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Empire State's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Empire State's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Empire State's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Empire State's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Empire State's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Empire State is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Empire State's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.