Madison Square Garden Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MSGE Stock  USD 39.48  0.08  0.20%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Madison Square Garden is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Madison Square buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MSGE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Madison Square's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Madison Square's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
45.74
Target Price
41.2
Hype Value
39.48
Market Value
39.48
Naive Value
40.36
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Madison Square Garden given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Madison Square. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Madison Square Garden, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Madison Square Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Madison and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Madison Square Garden. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Madison Square Buy or Sell Advice

The Madison recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Madison Square Garden. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Madison Square Garden or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Madison Square's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Madison SquareBuy Madison Square
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Madison Square Garden has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1203, Jensen Alpha of 0.1839, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1353, Sortino Ratio of 0.1719 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2295
Madison Square Garden trade recommendations module can be used to check and cross-verify current advice provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Madison Square Garden is not overpriced, please verify all Madison Square Garden fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, net income, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Madison Square Garden has a number of shares shorted of 2.29 M, we recommend you to check Madison Square market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Madison Square Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. to Host Fiscal 2024 Third Quarter Conference Call

Madison Square Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Madison Square's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Madison Square's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Madison Square daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Madison Square Garden price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Madison Square returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Madison Square.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-1.71
Potential Upside
2.82
Standard Deviation
1.33
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Madison Square historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Madison Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Madison Square is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Madison Square Garden backward and forwards among themselves. Madison Square's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Madison Square's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
621.1 K
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
593.3 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
566.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
548 K
Maplelane Capital, Llc2023-12-31
460 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2023-12-31
450.3 K
Long Pond Capital, Lp2023-12-31
448.8 K
Systematic Financial Management Lp2023-12-31
377 K
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
369 K
Ariel Investments, Llc2023-12-31
M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
2.8 M
Note, although Madison Square's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Madison Square Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(26.4M)(115.2M)(13.3M)(45.2M)(40.7M)(42.7M)
Investments(210.3M)(84.4M)(48.5M)30.3M34.9M36.6M
Change In Cash(7.5M)315.0M(255.5M)21.8M25.0M26.3M
Net Borrowings(21.3M)637.3M(6.2M)(19.8M)(22.8M)(21.7M)
Free Cash Flow1.9M(158.4M)79.6M120.5M138.6M145.5M
Depreciation88.1M77.0M81.3M60.5M54.4M71.6M
Other Non Cash Items(129.8M)(52.3M)88.8M(7.5M)(6.7M)(6.4M)
Capital Expenditures29.6M10.3M15.8M15.2M13.7M13.0M
Net Income170.7M(219.3M)(136.2M)76.0M87.5M91.8M
End Period Cash Flow3.0M318.1M62.6M84.4M75.9M72.1M
Change To Netincome(10.0M)(4.9M)88.2M28.3M32.5M25.9M

Madison Square Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Madison Square or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Madison Square's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Madison stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.18
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.00
σ
Overall volatility
1.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Madison Square Volatility Alert

Madison Square Garden has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.53 and kurtosis of 0.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Madison Square's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Madison Square's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Madison Square Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Madison Square's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Madison Square's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Madison Square and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Madison Square or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Madison Square's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Madison Square by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Madison Square to competition
FundamentalsMadison SquarePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0467-0.31
Return On Asset0.0491-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.34 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.83 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding41.12 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.04 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.29 M4.71 M
Price To Book0.80 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.10 X11.42 X
Revenue851.5 M9.43 B
Gross Profit372.64 M27.38 B
EBITDA195.98 M3.9 B
Net Income76.04 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents828.54 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share24.19 X5.01 X
Total Debt902.92 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.27 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(2.13) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations135.69 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.63 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.50 X3.12 X
Target Price42.33
Number Of Employees5.82 K18.84 K
Beta1.26-0.15
Market Capitalization1.89 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.4 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(28.7 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(245.36 M)1.48 B
Current Asset1.21 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities426.21 M7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 21447 shares by James Dolan of Madison Square at 37.9278 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Madison Square Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Madison . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Madison Square Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Madison Square Garden? Buying financial instruments such as Madison Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total956.8M902.9M1.0B553.1M
Total Assets1.5B1.4B1.3B2.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Madison Square in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Business Supplies Thematic Idea Now

Business Supplies
Business Supplies Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Business Supplies theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Business Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Madison Square Garden is a strong investment it is important to analyze Madison Square's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Madison Square's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Madison Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Madison Square Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Madison Square Garden information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Madison Square's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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Is Madison Square's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Madison Square. If investors know Madison will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Madison Square listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.379
Earnings Share
1.5
Revenue Per Share
17.735
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
Return On Assets
0.0491
The market value of Madison Square Garden is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Madison that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Madison Square's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Madison Square's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Madison Square's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Madison Square's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Madison Square's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Madison Square is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Madison Square's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.