Mistras Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MG Stock | USD 9.15 0.18 1.93% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mistras Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Mistras buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Mistras positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mistras' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Mistras' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 9.55 | Target Price 10 | Hype Value 9.25 | Market Value 9.15 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mistras Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mistras. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mistras Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Mistras |
Execute Mistras Buy or Sell Advice
The Mistras recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mistras Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mistras Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mistras' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Mistras Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 705.47 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (17.45 M) with gross profit of 220.81 M. | |
| Mistras Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Mistras Group Stock Price Passes Above 200-Day Moving Average of 7.85 - Defense World |
Mistras Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mistras' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mistras' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mistras daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mistras Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mistras returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mistras.
| Mean Return | 0.26 | Value At Risk | -3.47 | Potential Upside | 4.13 | Standard Deviation | 2.42 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mistras historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mistras Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Mistras is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mistras Group backward and forwards among themselves. Mistras' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Mistras' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Foundry Partners, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 382.6 K | Acuitas Investments, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 292.3 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 265.2 K | Jb Capital Partners Lp | 2023-12-31 | 202.2 K | Lawson Kroeker Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 164.7 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 162.2 K | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 157.7 K | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2023-12-31 | 156.1 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 116.6 K | Mill Road Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Royce & Associates, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M |
Mistras Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (302K) | 84K | 278K | (1.3M) | (1.9M) | (1.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | (10.5M) | 10.7M | (1.7M) | (3.6M) | (2.8M) | (2.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 36.2M | 52.0M | 23.0M | 13.0M | 3.1M | 2.9M | |
| Depreciation | 38.5M | 35.7M | 34.9M | 33.3M | 39.3M | 30.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.8M | 111.8M | 1.5M | (268K) | 9.6M | 9.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 22.9M | 15.8M | 19.3M | 13.4M | 23.6M | 15.2M | |
| Net Income | 6.1M | (99.5M) | 3.9M | 6.6M | (17.5M) | (16.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 15.0M | 25.8M | 24.1M | 20.5M | 17.6M | 16.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 7.0M | 104.2M | 3.5M | 5.4M | 6.3M | 5.9M | |
| Change Receivables | 8.3M | 27.3M | (4.0M) | (17.2M) | (19.8M) | (18.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (40.1M) | (40.1M) | (16.9M) | (10.8M) | (9.7M) | (9.2M) | |
| Investments | (25.3M) | (15.0M) | (18.6M) | (12.2M) | (22.1M) | (23.2M) |
Mistras Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mistras or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mistras' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mistras stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Mistras Volatility Alert
Mistras Group currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mistras' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mistras' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mistras Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mistras' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mistras' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mistras and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mistras or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mistras' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mistras by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mistras to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mistras | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0598 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0374 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 529.02 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 30.97 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 35.62 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 50.49 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 187.85 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 42.14 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.46 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.39 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 705.47 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 220.81 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 65.78 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (17.45 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 20.49 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.62 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 245.72 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.31 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.36 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.05 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 26.75 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.66 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.38) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.89 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 13.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 4.8 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.67 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 283.35 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 534.78 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (28.94 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 63.83 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by John Smith of 7000 shares of Mistras subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Mistras Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mistras . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Mistras Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mistras Group? Buying financial instruments such as Mistras Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 216.1M | 205.5M | 245.7M | 152.0M | Total Assets | 562.2M | 534.9M | 534.8M | 464.9M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Mistras in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Artificial Intelligence Thematic Idea Now
Artificial Intelligence
Technology companies, funds, and ETFs across multiple industries that are involved in research or development in the field of reasoning, learning, natural language processing and perception as well as its application to science and commerce. This theme may also include entities involved in cybernetics and cognitive brain simulation field. The Artificial Intelligence theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Artificial Intelligence Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Mistras Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Mistras Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mistras' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for Mistras Stock analysis
When running Mistras' price analysis, check to measure Mistras' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mistras is operating at the current time. Most of Mistras' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mistras' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mistras' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mistras to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mistras' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mistras. If investors know Mistras will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mistras listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) | Earnings Share (0.38) | Revenue Per Share 23.673 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.098 | Return On Assets 0.0374 |
The market value of Mistras Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mistras that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mistras' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mistras' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mistras' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mistras' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mistras' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mistras is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mistras' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.