Grand Canyon Education Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LOPE Stock  USD 144.87  0.13  0.09%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Grand Canyon Education is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Grand Canyon buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LOPE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Grand Canyon's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Grand Canyon's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
118.03
Target Price
131.75
Hype Value
145.27
Market Value
144.87
Naive Value
145.98
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Grand Canyon Education given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Grand Canyon. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Grand Canyon Education, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Grand Canyon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Grand and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Grand Canyon Education. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Grand Canyon Buy or Sell Advice

The Grand recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Grand Canyon Education. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Grand Canyon Education or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Grand Canyon's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Grand CanyonBuy Grand Canyon
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Grand Canyon Education has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.074, Jensen Alpha of 0.0743, Total Risk Alpha of (0.05), Sortino Ratio of 0.0357 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2062
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Grand Canyon to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Grand Canyon Education. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Grand Canyon Education is not overpriced, please check out all Grand Canyon fundamentals, including its gross profit, book value per share, and the relationship between the price to earning and cash per share . Given that Grand Canyon Education has a price to earning of 20.49 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Grand Canyon Education market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Grand Canyon Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Grand Canyon has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Genius Group Announces 2023 Financial Results, 150 percent Pro Forma Revenue Growth to 70.4 million

Grand Canyon Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Grand Canyon's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Grand Canyon's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Grand Canyon daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Grand Canyon Education price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Grand Canyon returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Grand Canyon.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
-1.66
Potential Upside
1.59
Standard Deviation
1.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Grand Canyon historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Grand Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Grand Canyon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grand Canyon Education backward and forwards among themselves. Grand Canyon's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Grand Canyon's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
542.2 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
487.7 K
Wasatch Advisors Lp2024-03-31
463.1 K
Los Angeles Capital Management Llc2024-03-31
456.8 K
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2023-12-31
428.8 K
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
424.9 K
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
398 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
391.9 K
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2023-12-31
376.1 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
M
Note, although Grand Canyon's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Grand Canyon Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(59.4M)123.2M355.2M(480.5M)26.1M27.4M
Free Cash Flow283.7M278.9M283.7M185.2M198.2M208.1M
Depreciation26.9M29.7M30.4M31.2M32.0M27.3M
Other Non Cash Items3.6M571K(4.3M)853K(442K)(419.9K)
Capital Expenditures22.7M29.9M29.4M35.6M45.4M87.3M
Net Income259.2M257.2M260.3M184.7M205.0M139.3M
End Period Cash Flow122.6M245.8M600.9M120.4M146.5M131.5M
Change To Netincome11.6M14.4M12.9M13.9M12.5M18.7M
Change To Inventory(14.1M)7.2M18.0M3.9M3.5M3.2M
Change Receivables766K(13.3M)(2.9M)(7.4M)(8.5M)(8.9M)
Net Borrowings(6.7M)80.2M(33.1M)(107.8M)(97.0M)(92.1M)
Investments47.8M85.6M1.2B(61.5M)(72.4M)(68.7M)

Grand Canyon Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Grand Canyon or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Grand Canyon's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Grand stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.64
σ
Overall volatility
1.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Grand Canyon Volatility Alert

Grand Canyon Education has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.73 and kurtosis of 4.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Grand Canyon's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Grand Canyon's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Grand Canyon Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Grand Canyon's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Grand Canyon's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Grand Canyon and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Grand Canyon or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Grand Canyon's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grand Canyon by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Grand Canyon to competition
FundamentalsGrand CanyonPeer Average
Return On Equity0.3-0.31
Return On Asset0.17-0.14
Profit Margin0.22 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.31 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding29.74 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.11 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.82 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted421.37 K4.71 M
Price To Earning20.49 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.46 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.08 X11.42 X
Revenue960.9 M9.43 B
Gross Profit487.5 M27.38 B
EBITDA281.23 M3.9 B
Net Income204.99 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents203.27 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.46 X5.01 X
Total Debt99.28 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.1 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share25.82 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations243.66 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.47 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share7.15 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.14 X4.89 X
Target Price163.33
Number Of Employees4.07 K18.84 K
Beta0.59-0.15
Market Capitalization4.31 B19.03 B
Total Asset952.02 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.24 B9.33 B
Working Capital240.49 M1.48 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Grand Canyon Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Grand . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Grand Canyon Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Grand Canyon Education? Buying financial instruments such as Grand Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total61.2M77.4M99.3M82.3M
Total Assets1.2B832.7M952.0M859.9M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Grand Canyon in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Plastics
Plastics Theme
Companies manufacturing rubber and plastics accessories. The Plastics theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Plastics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Grand Canyon Education is a strong investment it is important to analyze Grand Canyon's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Grand Canyon's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Grand Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Grand Canyon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.

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When running Grand Canyon's price analysis, check to measure Grand Canyon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grand Canyon is operating at the current time. Most of Grand Canyon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grand Canyon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grand Canyon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grand Canyon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Grand Canyon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grand Canyon. If investors know Grand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grand Canyon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.18
Earnings Share
7.15
Revenue Per Share
33.135
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.098
Return On Assets
0.1697
The market value of Grand Canyon Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grand Canyon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grand Canyon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grand Canyon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grand Canyon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grand Canyon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grand Canyon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grand Canyon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.