Lucid Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LCID Stock | USD 2.78 0.16 6.11% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Lucid Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Lucid buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Lucid positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Lucid's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Lucid's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.95 | Target Price 8.2 | Hype Value 2.62 | Market Value 2.78 | Naive Value 2.78 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Lucid Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Lucid. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Lucid Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Lucid |
Execute Lucid Buy or Sell Advice
The Lucid recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lucid Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lucid Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lucid's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Relatively risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Lucid Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Lucid Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lucid Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lucid Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 595.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.83 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.04 B). | |
| Lucid Group currently holds about 3.34 B in cash with (2.49 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.99. | |
| Lucid Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Cummins to Report Q1 Earnings Heres What to Expect |
Lucid Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Lucid's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lucid's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lucid daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lucid Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lucid returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lucid.
| Mean Return | 0.07 | Value At Risk | -5.66 | Potential Upside | 5.88 | Standard Deviation | 5.12 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lucid historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Lucid Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Lucid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lucid Group backward and forwards among themselves. Lucid's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Lucid's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 5.3 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 5.3 M | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 4.3 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 3.6 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.5 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 3 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 3 M | Alps Advisors Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3 M | Swiss National Bank | 2023-12-31 | 2.8 M | Public Investment Fund | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 B | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 83.3 M |
Lucid Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lucid or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lucid's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lucid stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Lucid Volatility Alert
Lucid Group exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lucid's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lucid's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Lucid Implied Volatility
Lucid's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lucid Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lucid's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lucid stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lucid's options are near their expiration.
Lucid Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Lucid's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lucid's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lucid and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lucid or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lucid's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lucid by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Lucid to competition |
| Fundamentals | Lucid | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.61 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.23 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (4.69) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.34 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.31 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.83 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 73.89 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 266.9 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.79 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.19 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 9.69 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 595.27 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (1.04 B) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (3.1 B) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (2.83 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.34 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.99 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.43 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.72 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.04 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.11 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.49 B) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 10.06 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.36) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.13 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 3.23 | |
| Number Of Employees | 6.5 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.02 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.77 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 8.51 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (10.2 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 3.75 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 8.51 B |
Note: Sale by Michael Bell of 46735 shares of Lucid [view details]
Lucid Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lucid . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Lucid Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Lucid Group? Buying financial instruments such as Lucid Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.0B | 2.1B | 2.4B | 1.4B | Total Assets | 7.9B | 7.9B | 8.5B | 5.8B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Lucid in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Electrical Equipment Thematic Idea Now
Electrical Equipment
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Electrical Equipment theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Electrical Equipment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Lucid Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Lucid Stock analysis
When running Lucid's price analysis, check to measure Lucid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lucid is operating at the current time. Most of Lucid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lucid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lucid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lucid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators |
Is Lucid's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lucid. If investors know Lucid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lucid listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.36) | Revenue Per Share 0.286 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.39) | Return On Assets (0.23) | Return On Equity (0.61) |
The market value of Lucid Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lucid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lucid's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lucid's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lucid's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lucid's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lucid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lucid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lucid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.