Jabil Circuit Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| JBL Stock | USD 117.79 3.22 2.66% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Jabil Circuit is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Jabil Circuit buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding JBL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Jabil Circuit's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Jabil Circuit's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 126.08 | Target Price 142.29 | Hype Value 117.79 | Market Value 117.79 | Naive Value 128.31 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Jabil Circuit given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Jabil Circuit. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Jabil Circuit, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Jabil |
Execute Jabil Circuit Buy or Sell Advice
The Jabil recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Jabil Circuit. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Jabil Circuit or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Jabil Circuit's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Jabil Circuit Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Jabil Circuit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Ex-Jabil CEO to receive 2M payout, millions in stock incentives |
Jabil Circuit Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Jabil Circuit's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Jabil Circuit's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Jabil Circuit daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Jabil Circuit price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Jabil Circuit returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Jabil Circuit.
| Mean Return | -0.2 | Value At Risk | -2.66 | Potential Upside | 2.33 | Standard Deviation | 2.77 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Jabil Circuit historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Jabil Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Jabil Circuit is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jabil Circuit backward and forwards among themselves. Jabil Circuit's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Jabil Circuit's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 2 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Bessemer Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Whale Rock Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 15.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 10.3 M |
Jabil Circuit Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (77.3M) | (1.3B) | (1.7B) | 370M | 333M | 349.7M | |
| Change In Cash | 230.2M | 173M | (89M) | 326M | 374.9M | 393.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 274.2M | 274M | 266M | 704M | 809.6M | 850.1M | |
| Depreciation | 794.6M | 876M | 925M | 924M | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 173.4M | 36M | 9M | 18M | 20.7M | 19.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 983.0M | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.0B | 1.2B | 1.2B | |
| Net Income | 56.8M | 698M | 996M | 818M | 940.7M | 987.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.4B | 1.6B | 1.5B | 1.8B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Change To Netincome | 153.9M | 127M | 77M | 198M | 227.7M | 239.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 50.5M | 50M | 48M | 45M | 51.8M | 58.5M | |
| Investments | (921.1M) | (851M) | (858M) | (723M) | (650.7M) | (618.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (586.5M) | (136.0M) | (283M) | (878M) | (790.2M) | (750.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 232.6M | 111M | (123M) | (157M) | (141.3M) | (134.2M) |
Jabil Circuit Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Jabil Circuit or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Jabil Circuit's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Jabil stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Jabil Circuit Volatility Alert
Jabil Circuit exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.44 and kurtosis of 18.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Jabil Circuit's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Jabil Circuit's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Jabil Circuit Implied Volatility
Jabil Circuit's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jabil Circuit stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jabil Circuit's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jabil Circuit stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jabil Circuit's options are near their expiration.
Jabil Circuit Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Jabil Circuit's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Jabil Circuit's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Jabil Circuit and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Jabil Circuit or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Jabil Circuit's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jabil Circuit by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Jabil Circuit to competition |
| Fundamentals | Jabil Circuit | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.57 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0542 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 15.25 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 120.6 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.72 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.39 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.24 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 6.08 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.50 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 34.7 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.87 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.58 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 818 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.8 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 11.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.25 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.52 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.01 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 21.71 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.73 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.58 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 11.54 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.91 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 148.46 | |
| Number Of Employees | 236 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.42 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 14.59 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 19.42 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 4.41 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.04 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 4300 shares by Roberto Ferri of Jabil Circuit at 118.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Jabil Circuit Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Jabil . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 117.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 117.79 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.61) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.22) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 30.68 |
About Jabil Circuit Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Jabil Circuit? Buying financial instruments such as Jabil Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 3.4B | 3.2B | 3.7B | 3.9B | Total Assets | 19.7B | 19.4B | 22.3B | 23.5B |
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In addition to having Jabil Circuit in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Jabil Circuit Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Jabil Stock please use our How to buy in Jabil Stock guide.Note that the Jabil Circuit information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jabil Circuit's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Jabil Stock analysis
When running Jabil Circuit's price analysis, check to measure Jabil Circuit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jabil Circuit is operating at the current time. Most of Jabil Circuit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jabil Circuit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jabil Circuit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jabil Circuit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Jabil Circuit's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jabil Circuit. If investors know Jabil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jabil Circuit listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.809 | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 11.54 | Revenue Per Share 247.585 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
The market value of Jabil Circuit is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jabil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jabil Circuit's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jabil Circuit's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jabil Circuit's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jabil Circuit's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jabil Circuit's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jabil Circuit is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jabil Circuit's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.