International Consolidated Airlines Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ICAGY Stock | USD 4.39 0.12 2.66% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding International Consolidated Airlines is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides International Consolidated buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ICAGY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of International Consolidated's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting International Consolidated's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 4.6 | Hype Value 4.51 | Market Value 4.39 | Naive Value 4.77 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell International Consolidated Airlines given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards International Consolidated. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for International Consolidated Airlines, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
International |
Execute International Consolidated Buy or Sell Advice
The International recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on International Consolidated Airlines. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in International Consolidated Airlines or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute International Consolidated's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
International Consolidated Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company has accumulated 8.97 B in total debt. International Consolidated has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist International Consolidated until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, International Consolidated's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like International Consolidated sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for International to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about International Consolidated's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 8.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.93 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 164 M. | |
| International Consolidated Airlines has accumulated about 9.19 B in cash with (141 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.69. |
International Consolidated Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of International Consolidated's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of International Consolidated's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of International Consolidated daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use International Consolidated Airlines price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of International Consolidated returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for International Consolidated.
| Mean Return | 0.33 | Value At Risk | -3.31 | Potential Upside | 3.88 | Standard Deviation | 2.18 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of International Consolidated historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
International Consolidated Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to International Consolidated or Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that International Consolidated's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a International pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
International Consolidated Volatility Alert
International Consolidated Airlines has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.26 and kurtosis of 0.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure International Consolidated's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact International Consolidated's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.International Consolidated Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing International Consolidated's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze International Consolidated's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between International Consolidated and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as International Consolidated or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of International Consolidated's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Consolidated by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare International Consolidated to competition |
| Fundamentals | International Consolidated | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.019 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 19.55 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.48 B | 571.82 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.72 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.20 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.39 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.46 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 164 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (807 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (2.93 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 9.19 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.69 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 8.97 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.83 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.72 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (141 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.12) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 4.78 | |
| Number Of Employees | 58.08 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.3 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 9.92 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 34.41 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 0.6 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.27 % | |
| Five Year Return | 9.73 % | |
| Net Asset | 34.41 B |
International Consolidated Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as International . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About International Consolidated Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell International Consolidated Airlines? Buying financial instruments such as International Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out International Consolidated Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the International Consolidated information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other International Consolidated's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Complementary Tools for International Pink Sheet analysis
When running International Consolidated's price analysis, check to measure International Consolidated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Consolidated is operating at the current time. Most of International Consolidated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Consolidated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Consolidated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Consolidated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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