Gxo Logistics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GXO Stock  USD 50.09  0.39  0.77%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding GXO Logistics is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of GXO Logistics' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out GXO Logistics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in GXO Stock, please use our How to Invest in GXO Logistics guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as GXO and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards GXO Logistics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.

Execute GXO Logistics Buy or Sell Advice

The GXO recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on GXO Logistics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in GXO Logistics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute GXO Logistics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell GXO LogisticsBuy GXO Logistics
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon GXO Logistics has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0215, Jensen Alpha of 0.0447, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0508, Sortino Ratio of 0.021 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0181
Our trade recommendations tool can be used to complement GXO Logistics advice provided by experts. It analyzes the entity's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure GXO Logistics is not overpriced, please check out all GXO Logistics fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that GXO Logistics has a number of shares shorted of 3.33 M, we strongly advise you to confirm GXO Logistics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

GXO Logistics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

GXO Logistics has 4.09 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.54, which is OK given its current industry classification. GXO Logistics has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for GXO to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 94.0% of GXO Logistics shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Global Contract Logistics Report 2024 DHL Supply Chain Maintains its Place as the Global Contract Logistics Market Leader, with Almost Double the Revenues of its Nearest Rival GXO - ResearchAndMarkets.com

GXO Logistics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of GXO Logistics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of GXO Logistics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of GXO Logistics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use GXO Logistics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of GXO Logistics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for GXO Logistics.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-2.55
Potential Upside
2.93
Standard Deviation
1.85
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of GXO Logistics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

GXO Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as GXO Logistics, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GXO Logistics back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-03-31
1.9 M
Fort Pitt Capital Group, Llc2024-03-31
1.9 M
Amundi2024-03-31
1.8 M
Swedbank Ab2024-03-31
1.6 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-03-31
1.5 M
British Columbia Investment Management Corp2024-03-31
1.2 M
Mar Vista Investment Partners, Llc2024-03-31
1.2 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-03-31
1.2 M
Cardinal Capital Management Llc2024-03-31
1.2 M
Orbis Allan Gray Ltd2024-03-31
14.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-03-31
11.2 M
Note, although GXO Logistics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

GXO Logistics Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(147M)(280M)(207M)21M(285M)(299.3M)
Change In Cash(101M)128M5M162M(27M)(25.7M)
Net Borrowings(115M)(99M)696M786M903.9M949.1M
Free Cash Flow(77M)111M205M200M284M144.5M
Depreciation302M323M335M329M361M350.4M
Other Non Cash Items17M788M(10M)(14M)27M25.7M
Net Income81M(22M)161M200M229M135.5M
End Period Cash Flow200M328M333M495M468M389.6M
Change To Netincome59M7M(44M)9M8.1M11.4M

GXO Logistics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to GXO Logistics or Air Freight & Logistics sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that GXO Logistics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GXO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.88
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

GXO Logistics Volatility Alert

GXO Logistics has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 1.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure GXO Logistics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact GXO Logistics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

GXO Logistics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing GXO Logistics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze GXO Logistics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between GXO Logistics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as GXO Logistics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of GXO Logistics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GXO Logistics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare GXO Logistics to competition
FundamentalsGXO LogisticsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0608-0.31
Return On Asset0.0255-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.71 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding119.43 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.84 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions94.05 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.33 M4.71 M
Price To Earning39.83 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.09 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.60 X11.42 X
Revenue9.78 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.55 B27.38 B
EBITDA745 M3.9 B
Net Income229 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents495 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.24 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.09 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.54 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.95 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24.04 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations558 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.31 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.40 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.52 X4.89 X
Target Price69.29
Number Of Employees130 K18.84 K
Beta1.7-0.15
Market Capitalization6.03 B19.03 B
Total Asset9.51 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings552 M9.33 B
Working Capital(58 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Baris Oran of 11287 shares of GXO Logistics subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

GXO Logistics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GXO . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About GXO Logistics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell GXO Logistics? Buying financial instruments such as GXO Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total2.8B4.2B4.1B3.4B
Total Assets7.3B9.2B9.5B8.5B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having GXO Logistics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Silver Thematic Idea Now

Silver
Silver Theme
Companies involved in mining, production, and distribution of silver and silver goods. The Silver theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Silver Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in GXO Stock

When determining whether GXO Logistics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of GXO Logistics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gxo Logistics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gxo Logistics Stock:
Check out GXO Logistics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in GXO Stock, please use our How to Invest in GXO Logistics guide.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GXO Logistics. If investors know GXO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GXO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.602
Earnings Share
1.4
Revenue Per Share
83.264
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.057
Return On Assets
0.0255
The market value of GXO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GXO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GXO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GXO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GXO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GXO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GXO Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GXO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GXO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.