Glatfelter Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GLT Stock | USD 1.67 0.01 0.60% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Glatfelter is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Glatfelter buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GLT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Glatfelter's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Glatfelter's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.46 | Target Price 9 | Hype Value 1.68 | Market Value 1.67 | Naive Value 1.81 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Glatfelter given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Glatfelter. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Glatfelter, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Glatfelter |
Execute Glatfelter Buy or Sell Advice
The Glatfelter recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Glatfelter. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Glatfelter or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Glatfelter's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Glatfelter Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Glatfelter generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Glatfelter may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Glatfelter has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.39 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (78.1 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 148.8 M. | |
| Glatfelter has about 110.66 M in cash with (25.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.6. | |
| Glatfelter has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Specialty Paper Market size is set to grow by USD 13.59 bn from 2024-2028, changing lifestyle in emerging economies to boost the market growth, Technavio |
Glatfelter Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Glatfelter's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Glatfelter's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Glatfelter daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Glatfelter price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Glatfelter returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Glatfelter.
| Mean Return | -0.3 | Value At Risk | -6.01 | Potential Upside | 7.95 | Standard Deviation | 4.38 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Glatfelter historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Glatfelter Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Glatfelter is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Glatfelter backward and forwards among themselves. Glatfelter's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Glatfelter's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 913.2 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 903.2 K | Castleknight Management Lp | 2023-12-31 | 579.2 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 548.1 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 498.5 K | Foundation Resource Management Inc | 2024-03-31 | 432 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 429.3 K | Invenomic Capital Management, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 398.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 383.8 K | Carlson Capital Lp | 2023-12-31 | 7.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.2 M |
Glatfelter Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (17.4M) | 6.9M | (40.0M) | (44.4M) | 9.6M | 10.1M | |
| Change In Cash | (16.5M) | (26.6M) | 26.8M | (38.2M) | (59.7M) | (56.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 75.1M | 80.9M | 40.9M | (78.6M) | (59.4M) | (56.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 73.7M | 56.2M | 56.4M | 66.7M | 63.2M | 54.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 52.0M | 75K | 649K | 192.9M | 25.0M | 13.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 22.8M | 22.9M | 23.5M | 24.5M | 18.8M | 0.0 | |
| Capital Expenditures | 27.8M | 28.1M | 30.0M | 37.7M | 33.8M | 47.5M | |
| Net Income | (25.2M) | 21.3M | 6.9M | (194.1M) | (78.1M) | (74.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 126.2M | 99.6M | 138.4M | 110.7M | 54.6M | 65.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 50.2M | 8.8M | (13.8M) | 167.5M | 192.7M | 202.3M | |
| Investments | (27.1M) | (26.8M) | (489.8M) | (33.1M) | (36.3M) | (38.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | (621K) | (5.5M) | 9.6M | (14.8M) | (13.3M) | (12.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (48.3M) | (76.7M) | 487.1M | 68.2M | 78.5M | 78.7M |
Glatfelter Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Glatfelter or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Glatfelter's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Glatfelter stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.66 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 3.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Glatfelter Volatility Alert
Glatfelter exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.82 and kurtosis of 0.59. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Glatfelter's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Glatfelter's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Glatfelter Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Glatfelter's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Glatfelter's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Glatfelter and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Glatfelter or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Glatfelter's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Glatfelter by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Glatfelter to competition |
| Fundamentals | Glatfelter | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.34 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0051 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.07) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 957.61 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 45.25 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.07 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.7 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.46 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.30 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.05 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.39 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 148.8 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 84.68 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (78.1 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 110.66 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.60 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 865.38 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.12 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.94 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.93 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (25.62 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 10.96 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.02) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.80 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 9.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.92 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.74 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 76.93 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.56 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 419.81 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 325.6 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 4318 shares by David Elder of Glatfelter subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Glatfelter Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Glatfelter . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
About Glatfelter Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Glatfelter? Buying financial instruments such as Glatfelter Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 787.4M | 845.1M | 865.4M | 908.7M | Total Assets | 1.9B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.2B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Glatfelter in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Obamacare Repeal Thematic Idea Now
Obamacare Repeal
Healthcare and drug manufacturing companies that will most likely be affected by the final stages of Obamacare repeal. The Obamacare Repeal theme has 56 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Obamacare Repeal Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Glatfelter Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Glatfelter Stock please use our How to Invest in Glatfelter guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Complementary Tools for Glatfelter Stock analysis
When running Glatfelter's price analysis, check to measure Glatfelter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Glatfelter is operating at the current time. Most of Glatfelter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Glatfelter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Glatfelter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Glatfelter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital |
Is Glatfelter's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Glatfelter. If investors know Glatfelter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Glatfelter listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.143 | Earnings Share (2.02) | Revenue Per Share 29.582 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) | Return On Assets 0.0051 |
The market value of Glatfelter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Glatfelter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Glatfelter's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Glatfelter's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Glatfelter's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Glatfelter's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Glatfelter's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Glatfelter is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Glatfelter's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.