Fortuna Silver Mines Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FSM Stock  USD 5.07  0.10  2.01%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Fortuna Silver Mines is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Fortuna Silver's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Fortuna Silver Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Fortuna and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Fortuna Silver Mines. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Fortuna Silver Buy or Sell Advice

The Fortuna recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Fortuna Silver Mines. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Fortuna Silver Mines or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Fortuna Silver's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Fortuna SilverBuy Fortuna Silver
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Fortuna Silver Mines has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1303, Jensen Alpha of 0.7406, Total Risk Alpha of 0.7353, Sortino Ratio of 0.2135 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4693
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Fortuna Silver Mines. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Fortuna Silver is not overpriced, please confirm all Fortuna Silver Mines fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Fortuna Silver Mines has a number of shares shorted of 4.28 M, we urge you to verify Fortuna Silver Mines market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Fortuna Silver Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Fortuna Silver Mines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 858.61 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (51.77 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 146.8 M.
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Fortuna Silver Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Fortuna Silver's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Fortuna Silver's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Fortuna Silver daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Fortuna Silver Mines price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Fortuna Silver returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Fortuna Silver.
Mean Return
0.75
Value At Risk
-3.44
Potential Upside
7.01
Standard Deviation
3.81
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Fortuna Silver historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Fortuna Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Fortuna Silver, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fortuna Silver Mines back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Millennium Management Llc2024-03-31
M
Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main2024-03-31
1.9 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-03-31
1.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-03-31
1.5 M
Schroder Investment Management Group2024-03-31
1.4 M
Us Global Investors Inc2024-03-31
1.3 M
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-03-31
1.2 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-03-31
1.1 M
Amundi2024-03-31
1.1 M
Van Eck Associates Corporation2024-03-31
34 M
Mirae Asset Global Investments (korea) Co Ltd2024-03-31
M
Note, although Fortuna Silver's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Fortuna Silver Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(7.1M)48.5M(24.8M)(26.6M)47.0M49.4M
Free Cash Flow(161.1M)(20.9M)(5.2M)(57.0M)81.1M85.1M
Other Non Cash Items1.4M1.1M15.3M164.6M145.5M152.8M
Capital Expenditures224.1M114.3M152.3M251.2M221.3M232.4M
Net Income23.8M21.6M59.4M(135.9M)(51.8M)(49.2M)
End Period Cash Flow83.4M131.9M107.1M80.5M127.5M133.9M
Depreciation23.7M30.2M67.1M172.8M226.8M238.1M
Change To Inventory(1.0M)(25.7M)(23.8M)(20.4M)(21.4M)(20.3M)
Investments(145.2M)3.3M14K(255.3M)(238.7M)(226.8M)
Net Borrowings77.6M2.3M(44.2M)47.8M55.0M57.7M
Change To Netincome806K33.7M2.5M39.7M45.6M47.9M

Fortuna Silver Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fortuna Silver or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fortuna Silver's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fortuna stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.74
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.58
σ
Overall volatility
3.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Fortuna Silver Volatility Alert

Fortuna Silver Mines shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fortuna Silver's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fortuna Silver's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Fortuna Silver Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Fortuna Silver's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Fortuna Silver's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Fortuna Silver and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Fortuna Silver or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Fortuna Silver's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fortuna Silver by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Fortuna Silver to competition
FundamentalsFortuna SilverPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0202-0.31
Return On Asset0.0219-0.14
Profit Margin(0.04) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.22 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.71 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding306.11 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.87 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions46.46 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.28 M4.71 M
Price To Earning29.83 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.14 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.69 X11.42 X
Revenue858.61 M9.43 B
Gross Profit146.8 M27.38 B
EBITDA352.71 M3.9 B
Net Income(51.77 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents116.37 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.40 X5.01 X
Total Debt262.9 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.17 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.26 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.12 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations302.35 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.61 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.12) X3.12 X
Target Price9.0
Beta1.61-0.15
Market Capitalization1.53 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.96 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings87.2 M9.33 B
Working Capital89.56 M1.48 B
Current Asset128.04 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities34.15 M7.9 B

Fortuna Silver Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Fortuna . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Fortuna Silver Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Fortuna Silver Mines? Buying financial instruments such as Fortuna Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities3.1M53.1M52.5M55.1M
Total Assets2.0B1.9B2.0B2.1B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Fortuna Silver in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Transportation
Transportation Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Transportation theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Transportation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Fortuna Stock

When determining whether Fortuna Silver Mines is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fortuna Silver's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fortuna Silver's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fortuna Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Fortuna Silver Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fortuna Silver. If investors know Fortuna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fortuna Silver listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.285
Earnings Share
(0.12)
Revenue Per Share
2.981
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.281
Return On Assets
0.0219
The market value of Fortuna Silver Mines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fortuna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fortuna Silver's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fortuna Silver's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fortuna Silver's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fortuna Silver's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortuna Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortuna Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fortuna Silver's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.