Floor Decor Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FND Stock | USD 110.90 2.84 2.63% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Floor Decor Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Floor Decor buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FND positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Floor Decor's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Floor Decor's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 91.44 | Target Price 105.07 | Hype Value 108.23 | Market Value 110.9 | Naive Value 109.81 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Floor Decor Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Floor Decor. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Floor Decor Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Floor |
Execute Floor Decor Buy or Sell Advice
The Floor recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Floor Decor Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Floor Decor Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Floor Decor's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Floor Decor Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Floor Decor Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Floor Decor Announces Grand Opening of Bremerton, Washington Store |
Floor Decor Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Floor Decor's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Floor Decor's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Floor Decor daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Floor Decor Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Floor Decor returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Floor Decor.
| Mean Return | 0.03 | Value At Risk | -3.58 | Potential Upside | 3.88 | Standard Deviation | 2.48 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Floor Decor historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Floor Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Floor Decor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Floor Decor Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Floor Decor's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Floor Decor's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Bamco Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Sands Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M | Abdiel Capital Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 2.2 M | Timucuan Asset Management Inc/fl | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 M | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 2 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Riverbridge Partners Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 16.2 M | Capital World Investors | 2023-12-31 | 11.9 M |
Floor Decor Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (110.9M) | (72.1M) | (349.7M) | (283.4M) | 194.9M | 204.6M | |
| Change In Cash | 26.4M | 280.7M | (168.3M) | (129.7M) | 24.6M | 25.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 8.7M | 193.7M | (106.3M) | (344.2M) | 256.0M | 268.8M | |
| Depreciation | 74.0M | 91.6M | 118.2M | 155.0M | 201.9M | 212.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 6.5M | (629K) | 795K | 2.7M | 3.6M | 3.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 196.0M | 212.4M | 407.7M | 456.6M | 547.6M | 575.0M | |
| Net Income | 150.6M | 195.0M | 283.2M | 298.2M | 246.0M | 127.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 27.0M | 307.8M | 139.4M | 9.8M | 34.4M | 44.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | (3.5M) | 65.4M | (15.1M) | 206.4M | 237.3M | 249.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.2M | 24.7M | 24.0M | 27.3M | 31.4M | 33.0M | |
| Investments | (196.0M) | (212.4M) | (471.2M) | (455.6M) | (567.5M) | (539.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (17.9M) | 18.9M | (19.8M) | (12.2M) | (14.0M) | (14.7M) |
Floor Decor Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Floor Decor or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Floor Decor's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Floor stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Floor Decor Volatility Alert
Floor Decor Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Floor Decor's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Floor Decor's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Floor Decor Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Floor Decor's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Floor Decor's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Floor Decor and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Floor Decor or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Floor Decor's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Floor Decor by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Floor Decor to competition |
| Fundamentals | Floor Decor | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0451 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 13.3 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 107.01 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.91 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.09 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 16.42 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 40.28 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 6.23 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.73 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.41 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.75 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 523.3 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 245.98 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 9.79 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.06 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.63 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.05 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.26 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 18.09 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 803.59 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 13.94 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.28 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.20 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 113.32 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9.86 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.84 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 11.39 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.66 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.42 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 164.63 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 2547 shares by David Christopherson of Floor Decor at 117.11 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Floor Decor Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Floor . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Floor Decor Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Floor Decor Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Floor Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 1.4B | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.7B | Total Assets | 3.7B | 4.4B | 4.7B | 4.9B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Floor Decor in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Floor Decor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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When running Floor Decor's price analysis, check to measure Floor Decor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Floor Decor is operating at the current time. Most of Floor Decor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Floor Decor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Floor Decor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Floor Decor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Floor Decor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Floor Decor. If investors know Floor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Floor Decor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Earnings Share 2.28 | Revenue Per Share 41.537 | Return On Assets 0.0451 | Return On Equity 0.1371 |
The market value of Floor Decor Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Floor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Floor Decor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Floor Decor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Floor Decor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Floor Decor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Floor Decor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Floor Decor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Floor Decor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.