Brinker International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| EAT Stock | USD 48.27 0.68 1.43% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Brinker International is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Brinker International buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EAT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Brinker International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Brinker International's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 38.44 | Target Price 37.5 | Hype Value 47.86 | Market Value 48.27 | Naive Value 48.1 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Brinker International given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Brinker International. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Brinker International, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Brinker |
Execute Brinker International Buy or Sell Advice
The Brinker recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Brinker International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Brinker International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Brinker International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Brinker International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company has 2.04 B in debt. Brinker International has a current ratio of 0.35, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Brinker International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brinker International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brinker International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brinker to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brinker International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 5 Solid Restaurant Stocks to Buy as March Sales Rise |
Brinker International Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Brinker International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Brinker International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Brinker International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Brinker International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Brinker International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Brinker International.
| Mean Return | 0.34 | Value At Risk | -3.02 | Potential Upside | 3.87 | Standard Deviation | 2.28 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Brinker International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Brinker Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Brinker International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brinker International backward and forwards among themselves. Brinker International's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Brinker International's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 818.1 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 804 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 730 K | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 720.1 K | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 665.7 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 638.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 632.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 484.1 K | Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc | 2023-12-31 | 477.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 7 M | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 6.6 M |
Brinker International Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (4M) | (3.2M) | (7.1M) | (1.1M) | (990K) | (1.0M) | |
| Change In Cash | 30.5M | (20M) | (10.4M) | 1.6M | 1.4M | 1.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 140.5M | 275.7M | 101.9M | 71.4M | 82.1M | 100.4M | |
| Depreciation | 162.3M | 150.2M | 164.4M | 168.5M | 193.8M | 131.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 31.7M | 13.5M | 38.4M | 28.5M | 32.8M | 31.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 104.5M | 94M | 150.3M | 184.9M | 166.4M | 139.6M | |
| Net Income | 24.4M | 131.6M | 117.6M | 102.6M | 118.0M | 123.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 43.9M | 23.9M | 13.5M | 15.1M | 17.4M | 16.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 57.4M | 1.5M | 1.1M | 600K | 540K | 513K | |
| Change To Netincome | 56.3M | 31.7M | 33.6M | 12M | 13.8M | 13.1M | |
| Investments | 2.8M | (90.9M) | (234.2M) | (174.2M) | (156.8M) | (148.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (53.6M) | (321.6M) | 96.9M | (87.4M) | (78.7M) | (74.7M) |
Brinker International Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Brinker International or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Brinker International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Brinker stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Brinker International Volatility Alert
Brinker International currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Brinker International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Brinker International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Brinker International Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Brinker International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Brinker International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Brinker International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Brinker International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Brinker International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brinker International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Brinker International to competition |
| Fundamentals | Brinker International | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.0591 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.17 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 44.23 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.39 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.61 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.85 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 218.93 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.47 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.13 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 500.1 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 335.4 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 102.6 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 15.1 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.31 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.04 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | (7.90) % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.36 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (2.48) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 256.3 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.93 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.42 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.11 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 47.93 | |
| Number Of Employees | 64.32 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.49 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.1 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.49 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (351.9 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (352.6 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 174.45 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 425.62 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Payment of 2870 shares by Aaron White of Brinker International subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Brinker International Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Brinker . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 26785.61 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4304 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 47.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 47.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.87 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.68 |
About Brinker International Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Brinker International? Buying financial instruments such as Brinker Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.3B | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.5B | Total Assets | 2.5B | 2.5B | 2.9B | 1.5B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Brinker International in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Brinker International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Brinker Stock please use our How to Invest in Brinker International guide.Note that the Brinker International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Brinker International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
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When running Brinker International's price analysis, check to measure Brinker International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brinker International is operating at the current time. Most of Brinker International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brinker International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brinker International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brinker International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Brinker International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brinker International. If investors know Brinker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brinker International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.516 | Earnings Share 3.42 | Revenue Per Share 95.831 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.054 | Return On Assets 0.0591 |
The market value of Brinker International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brinker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brinker International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brinker International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brinker International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brinker International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brinker International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brinker International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brinker International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.