Amcon Distributing Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DIT Stock | USD 157.90 5.48 3.35% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AMCON Distributing is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides AMCON Distributing buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DIT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AMCON Distributing's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting AMCON Distributing's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 141.9 | Hype Value 157.9 | Market Value 157.9 | Naive Value 160.6 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AMCON Distributing given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards AMCON Distributing. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AMCON Distributing, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
AMCON |
Execute AMCON Distributing Buy or Sell Advice
The AMCON recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AMCON Distributing. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AMCON Distributing or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AMCON Distributing's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
AMCON Distributing Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AMCON Distributing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: StockNews.com Initiates Coverage on AMCON Distributing - Defense World |
AMCON Distributing Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AMCON Distributing's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AMCON Distributing's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AMCON Distributing daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AMCON Distributing price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AMCON Distributing returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AMCON Distributing.
| Mean Return | -0.32 | Value At Risk | -4.53 | Potential Upside | 3.75 | Standard Deviation | 2.48 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AMCON Distributing historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AMCON Distributing Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 3.7M | 3.7M | 3.2M | (7.7M) | (7.0M) | (6.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | 323.5K | (141.6K) | (88.0K) | 359.4K | 323.4K | 204.5K | |
| Free Cash Flow | 11.8M | 19.4M | 8.2M | 8.2M | 9.4M | 9.9M | |
| Depreciation | 3.1M | 3.1M | 3.6M | 7.6M | 8.7M | 9.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 63.5K | (3.3M) | (2.5M) | 901.2K | 811.1K | 654.6K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.4M | 1.5M | 14.7M | 11.6M | 13.3M | 14.0M | |
| Net Income | 5.5M | 15.5M | 16.7M | 11.6M | 13.3M | 14.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 661.2K | 519.6K | 431.6K | 790.9K | 909.6K | 484.8K | |
| Dividends Paid | 594.7K | 3.4M | 3.4M | 3.5M | 4.1M | 4.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 4.2M | 1.5M | (1.1M) | 1.4M | 1.2M | 1.5M | |
| Change Receivables | (828.4K) | 6.7M | (9.6M) | 3.0M | 2.7M | 2.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | 23.9M | 1.1M | (15.8M) | (3.3M) | (3.8M) | (3.6M) | |
| Investments | (10M) | (1.5M) | (14.4M) | (66.3M) | (59.6M) | (56.7M) |
AMCON Distributing Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AMCON Distributing or Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AMCON Distributing's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AMCON stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
AMCON Distributing Volatility Alert
AMCON Distributing exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.54 and kurtosis of 3.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AMCON Distributing's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AMCON Distributing's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AMCON Distributing Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AMCON Distributing's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AMCON Distributing's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AMCON Distributing and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AMCON Distributing or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AMCON Distributing's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AMCON Distributing by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AMCON Distributing to competition |
| Fundamentals | AMCON Distributing | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0765 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0424 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 249.46 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 630.36 K | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 72.70 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 11.27 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 544 | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.33 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.02 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.05 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.54 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 127.72 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 33.43 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 11.6 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 600.94 K | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.03 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 177.54 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.36 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.18 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 171.25 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 19.72 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.19 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 14.18 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 1.28 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.5 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 99.53 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 363.43 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 104.85 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 169.04 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 89.26 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 28.9 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Disposition of 1667 shares by Andrew Plummer of AMCON Distributing subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
AMCON Distributing Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AMCON . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About AMCON Distributing Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AMCON Distributing? Buying financial instruments such as AMCON Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 120.5M | 177.5M | 204.2M | 214.4M | Total Assets | 289.1M | 363.4M | 417.9M | 438.8M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having AMCON Distributing in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Candy and Soda
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Candy and Soda theme has 13 constituents at this time.
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Check out AMCON Distributing Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy AMCON Stock please use our How to Invest in AMCON Distributing guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
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When running AMCON Distributing's price analysis, check to measure AMCON Distributing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMCON Distributing is operating at the current time. Most of AMCON Distributing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMCON Distributing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMCON Distributing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMCON Distributing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AMCON Distributing's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMCON Distributing. If investors know AMCON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMCON Distributing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 14.18 | Revenue Per Share 3.5 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.045 |
The market value of AMCON Distributing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMCON that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMCON Distributing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMCON Distributing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMCON Distributing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMCON Distributing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMCON Distributing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMCON Distributing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMCON Distributing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.