Cumulus Media Class Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CMLS Stock  USD 2.63  0.10  3.66%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cumulus Media Class is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Cumulus Media buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CMLS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Cumulus Media's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Cumulus Media's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
4.11
Target Price
8.67
Hype Value
2.59
Market Value
2.63
Naive Value
2.6
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cumulus Media Class given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Cumulus Media. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cumulus Media Class, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Cumulus Media Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cumulus and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cumulus Media Class. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Cumulus Media Buy or Sell Advice

The Cumulus recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cumulus Media Class. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cumulus Media Class or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cumulus Media's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cumulus MediaBuy Cumulus Media
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cumulus Media Class has a Mean Deviation of 3.77, Standard Deviation of 5.02 and Variance of 25.16
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Cumulus Media Class. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Cumulus Media is not overpriced, please confirm all Cumulus Media Class fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Please also double-check Cumulus Media Class price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Cumulus Media Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cumulus Media Class generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cumulus Media Class has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 844.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (117.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 595.98 M.
Cumulus Media Class has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Bhargava Sparks FCC Review of Cumulus Foreign Stakes - Radio Ink

Cumulus Media Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cumulus Media's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cumulus Media's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cumulus Media daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cumulus Media Class price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cumulus Media returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cumulus Media.
Mean Return
-0.73
Value At Risk
-8.21
Potential Upside
9.61
Standard Deviation
5.02
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cumulus Media historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cumulus Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Cumulus Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cumulus Media Class backward and forwards among themselves. Cumulus Media's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Cumulus Media's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2023-12-31
105.5 K
O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
94.6 K
Ejf Capital Llc2023-12-31
88.9 K
Gsa Capital Partners Llp2023-12-31
76.7 K
Ancora Advisors Llc2023-12-31
74.1 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
68.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
65.7 K
Balanced Rock Investment Advisor2023-12-31
64.5 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
64.4 K
Zazove Associates Llc2023-12-31
1.5 M
Capital World Investors2023-12-31
779.4 K
Note, although Cumulus Media's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cumulus Media Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(13.0M)254.8M(94.7M)(69.6M)(26.8M)(25.4M)
Free Cash Flow74.8M18.3M39.4M47.4M6.8M6.5M
Depreciation76.6M63.2M53.5M56.4M65.3M56.7M
Other Non Cash Items(29.1M)29.2M(34.7M)14.6M46.0M79.9M
Capital Expenditures29.5M14.9M29.1M31.1M24.8M33.4M
Net Income61.3M(59.7M)17.3M16.2M(117.9M)(123.8M)
End Period Cash Flow17.0M271.8M177.0M107.4M80.7M82.3M
Change To Inventory(307.7M)5.7M2.1M(3.0M)(2.7M)(2.8M)
Net Borrowings(755.8M)(41.9M)(156.3M)(82.1M)(73.9M)(70.2M)
Change To Netincome(22.2M)(4.4M)(30.5M)20.2M18.2M31.6M

Cumulus Media Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cumulus Media or Media sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cumulus Media's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cumulus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.7
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.71
σ
Overall volatility
5.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Cumulus Media Volatility Alert

Cumulus Media Class exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.14 and kurtosis of 0.73. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cumulus Media's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cumulus Media's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cumulus Media Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cumulus Media's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cumulus Media's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cumulus Media and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cumulus Media or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cumulus Media's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cumulus Media by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cumulus Media to competition
FundamentalsCumulus MediaPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.34-0.31
Return On Asset0.0097-0.14
Profit Margin(0.14) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation781.37 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding16.53 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders16.32 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions45.70 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted388.37 K4.71 M
Price To Earning2.93 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.18 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.06 X11.42 X
Revenue844.55 M9.43 B
Gross Profit595.98 M27.38 B
EBITDA101.23 M3.9 B
Net Income(117.88 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents108.69 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.71 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.03 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.56 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share17.32 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations31.66 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.87 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(6.83) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.54 X4.89 X
Target Price11.0
Number Of Employees2.46 K18.84 K
Beta1.5-0.15
Market Capitalization45.97 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(21.4 M)9.33 B
Working Capital143.16 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Collin Jones of 56985 shares of Cumulus Media subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Cumulus Media Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cumulus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cumulus Media Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cumulus Media Class? Buying financial instruments such as Cumulus Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total953.0M862.4M1.0B1.3B
Total Assets1.7B1.6B1.4B1.9B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cumulus Media in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Industrials ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Industrials ETFs
Industrials ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Industrials ETFs theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Industrials ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Cumulus Media Class is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cumulus Media's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cumulus Media's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cumulus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cumulus Media Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for Cumulus Stock analysis

When running Cumulus Media's price analysis, check to measure Cumulus Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cumulus Media is operating at the current time. Most of Cumulus Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cumulus Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cumulus Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cumulus Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cumulus Media's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cumulus Media. If investors know Cumulus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cumulus Media listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
Earnings Share
(6.83)
Revenue Per Share
48.905
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
0.0097
The market value of Cumulus Media Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cumulus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cumulus Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cumulus Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cumulus Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cumulus Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cumulus Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cumulus Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cumulus Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.