Cadiz Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CDZI Stock  USD 2.34  0.05  2.09%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cadiz Inc is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Cadiz buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Cadiz positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Cadiz's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Cadiz's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
2
Target Price
15
Hype Value
2.34
Market Value
2.34
Naive Value
2.53
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cadiz Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Cadiz. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cadiz Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Cadiz Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cadiz and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cadiz Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Cadiz Buy or Sell Advice

The Cadiz recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cadiz Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cadiz Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cadiz's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CadizBuy Cadiz
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Cadiz Inc has a Mean Deviation of 2.34, Standard Deviation of 3.27 and Variance of 10.71
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Cadiz Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Cadiz is not overpriced, please confirm all Cadiz Inc fundamentals, including its cash per share, beta, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Please also double-check Cadiz Inc price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Cadiz Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cadiz Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cadiz Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cadiz Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.45 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (566 K).
Cadiz Inc currently holds about 6.96 M in cash with (20.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Roughly 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cadiz Announces Water Supply Agreement with Solstra Communities to Support Bold Attainable Housing in Santa Barbara County

Cadiz Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cadiz's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cadiz's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cadiz daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cadiz Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cadiz returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cadiz.
Mean Return
-0.17
Value At Risk
-5.69
Potential Upside
4.65
Standard Deviation
3.27
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cadiz historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cadiz Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Cadiz is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cadiz Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Cadiz's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Cadiz's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Elkhorn Partners Limited Partnership2023-12-31
640.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
395.9 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
297.7 K
Equitec Proprietary Markets, Llc2023-12-31
242.7 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
158.4 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
154.3 K
Ingalls & Snyder Llc2023-12-31
143.8 K
Delta Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
142.2 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
132.7 K
B. Riley Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
4.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
2.8 M
Note, although Cadiz's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cadiz Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Free Cash Flow(15.3M)(19.2M)(38.2M)(22.0M)(26.7M)(25.4M)
Depreciation265K381K438K672K1.4M2.3M
Other Non Cash Items15.5M9.8M9.4M4.2M7.7M5.1M
Capital Expenditures1.6M5.7M22.9M3.4M5.8M6.1M
Net Income(29.5M)(37.8M)(31.2M)(24.8M)(31.4M)(29.9M)
End Period Cash Flow15.8M7.4M19.9M13.8M4.5M8.1M
Change In Cash3.1M(8.4M)12.4M(6.1M)(6.8M)(6.4M)
Change To Inventory3.7M(178K)(707K)(236K)(1.8M)(1.7M)
Change Receivables3K(2K)(11K)(6K)(5.4K)(5.1K)
Net Borrowings(59K)107K(27.5M)117K105.3K100.0K
Change To Netincome1.3M25.2M12.4M3.7M4.3M6.5M
Investments(904K)(9.8M)(23.5M)(4.1M)(5.4M)(5.7M)

Cadiz Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cadiz or Water Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cadiz's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cadiz stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.35
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.41
σ
Overall volatility
3.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Cadiz Volatility Alert

Cadiz Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.29 and kurtosis of 1.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cadiz's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cadiz's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cadiz Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cadiz's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cadiz's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cadiz and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cadiz or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cadiz's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cadiz by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cadiz to competition
FundamentalsCadizPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.85-0.31
Return On Asset-0.12-0.14
Operating Margin(7.96) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation213.64 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding67.47 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders37.61 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions38.17 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.54 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(8.12) X28.72 X
Price To Book3.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales78.40 X11.42 X
Revenue1.99 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(566 K)27.38 B
EBITDA(19.57 M)3.9 B
Net Income(31.45 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.96 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.12 X5.01 X
Total Debt61.22 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.15 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.57 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.60 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(20.95 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio20.90 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.56) X3.12 X
Target Price15.0
Number Of Employees1818.84 K
Beta0.7-0.15
Market Capitalization157.88 M19.03 B
Total Asset107.37 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(639.85 M)9.33 B
Working Capital2.19 M1.48 B
Current Asset3.19 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.02 M7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Susan Kennedy of 25000 shares of Cadiz at 2.25 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Cadiz Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cadiz . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cadiz Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cadiz Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Cadiz Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total68.7M70.4M61.2M86.4M
Total Assets112.5M110.8M107.4M72.8M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cadiz in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Millennials Best Thematic Idea Now

Millennials Best
Millennials Best Theme
Companies or funds that provide products or services that appeal to the generation of millennials and that are expected to experience growth in the next 5 years. The millennial generation usually refers to the demographic population that were born between 1980 to 2000. The Millennials Best theme has 77 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Millennials Best Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Cadiz Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cadiz's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cadiz Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cadiz Inc Stock:
Check out Cadiz Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Cadiz Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cadiz's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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When running Cadiz's price analysis, check to measure Cadiz's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cadiz is operating at the current time. Most of Cadiz's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cadiz's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cadiz's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cadiz to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cadiz's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cadiz. If investors know Cadiz will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cadiz listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.56)
Revenue Per Share
0.03
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.192
Return On Assets
(0.12)
Return On Equity
(0.85)
The market value of Cadiz Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cadiz that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cadiz's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cadiz's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cadiz's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cadiz's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cadiz's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cadiz is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cadiz's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.