Caleres Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CAL Stock  USD 38.08  1.45  3.67%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Caleres is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Continental buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CAL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Continental's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Continental's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
35.86
Target Price
33.75
Hype Value
38.04
Market Value
38.08
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Caleres given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Continental. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Caleres, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Continental Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Continental and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Caleres. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Continental Buy or Sell Advice

The Continental recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Caleres. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Caleres or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Continental's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ContinentalBuy Continental
Strong Buy

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Caleres has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0793, Jensen Alpha of 0.105, Total Risk Alpha of (0.01), Sortino Ratio of 0.0895 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1254
Continental advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Continental is not overpriced, please confirm all Continental fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Continental has a price to earning of 4.78 X, we suggest you to validate Caleres market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Continental Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has 747.86 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.35, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Continental has a current ratio of 0.87, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Continental until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Continental's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Continental sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Continental to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Continental's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Continental has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of Continental shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 12th of April 2024 Continental paid $ 0.07 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Caleres to Announce First Quarter 2024 Results on May 30

Continental Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Continental's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Continental's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Continental daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Caleres price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Continental returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Continental.
Mean Return
0.26
Value At Risk
-2.68
Potential Upside
3.51
Standard Deviation
2.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Continental historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Continental Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Continental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caleres backward and forwards among themselves. Continental's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Continental's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Paradigm Capital Management, Inc.2023-12-31
718.5 K
Royce & Associates, Lp2023-12-31
664 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2023-12-31
646 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
582.8 K
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
532.9 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
500.3 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
396 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
373.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
369.3 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
5.6 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2023-12-31
4.5 M
Note, although Continental's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Continental Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory63.4M130.8M(108.8M)16.2M39.5M41.5M
Change In Cash15.0M43.1M(58.2M)3.6M(12.3M)(11.7M)
Free Cash Flow120.6M104.3M144.3M61.8M150.5M158.1M
Depreciation65.6M60.5M52.3M49.0M53.3M45.0M
Other Non Cash Items21.7M381.9M(26.6M)1.8M11.5M21.8M
Dividends Paid(10.8M)10.8M10.6M10.2M(10.0M)(10.5M)
Capital Expenditures50.2M22.1M24.1M64.0M49.6M46.7M
Net Income62.1M(439.0M)138.2M179.7M163.9M172.1M
End Period Cash Flow45.2M88.3M30.1M33.7M21.4M20.3M
Change To Netincome22.6M565.5M(20.9M)22.4M25.8M24.5M
Net Borrowings(60M)(25M)(160M)17.5M15.8M15.0M
Investments(49.5M)(22.1M)(24.1M)(64.0M)(49.6M)(52.1M)

Continental Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Continental or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Continental's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Continental stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Continental Volatility Alert

Caleres currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Continental's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Continental's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Continental Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Continental's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Continental's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Continental and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Continental or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Continental's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Continental by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Continental to competition
FundamentalsContinentalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.35-0.31
Return On Asset0.0712-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.07 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding35.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.49 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.10 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.81 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.78 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.22 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.44 X11.42 X
Revenue2.82 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.28 B27.38 B
EBITDA254.59 M3.9 B
Net Income163.87 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents33.7 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.95 X5.01 X
Total Debt747.86 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.35 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.89 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.80 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations200.15 M971.22 M
Short Ratio11.98 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.80 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.74 X4.89 X
Target Price43.0
Number Of Employees5.1 K18.84 K
Beta2.02-0.15
Market Capitalization1.34 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.04 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings410.33 M9.33 B
Working Capital45.95 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 12126 shares by Diane Sullivan of Continental at 35.9897 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Continental Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Continental . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Continental Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Caleres? Buying financial instruments such as Continental Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total871.4M887.6M747.9M785.3M
Total Assets1.8B1.8B2.0B1.2B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Continental in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Manufacturing Thematic Idea Now

Manufacturing
Manufacturing Theme
Companies that provide goods across residential, commercial and industrial construction such as machinery, tools, or lumber production. The Manufacturing theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Manufacturing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Continental is a strong investment it is important to analyze Continental's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Continental's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Continental Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Continental Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Continental information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Continental's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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Is Continental's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Continental. If investors know Continental will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Continental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.391
Dividend Share
0.28
Earnings Share
4.8
Revenue Per Share
82.517
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.001
The market value of Continental is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Continental that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Continental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Continental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Continental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Continental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Continental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Continental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Continental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.