Bhp Group Limited Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
BHP Stock | USD 57.19 0.07 0.12% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding BHP Group Limited is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides BHP Group buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BHP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of BHP Group's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting BHP Group's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 56.37 | Target Price 66.19 | Hype Value 57.18 | Market Value 57.19 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell BHP Group Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards BHP Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for BHP Group Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
BHP |
Execute BHP Group Buy or Sell Advice
The BHP recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BHP Group Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BHP Group Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BHP Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
BHP Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
BHP Group Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
BHP Group Limited has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
On 28th of March 2024 BHP Group paid $ 1.44 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Elliott Advisors Limited UK Regulatory Announcement Form 8.3 - BHP Group Ltd |
BHP Group Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of BHP Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BHP Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BHP Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BHP Group Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BHP Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for BHP Group.
Mean Return | -0.03 | Value At Risk | -2.9 | Potential Upside | 1.85 | Standard Deviation | 1.48 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BHP Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
BHP Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as BHP Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BHP Group Limited backward and forwards among themselves. BHP Group's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase BHP Group's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Sih Partners Lllp | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Westwood Global Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Atlantic Trust Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 942 K | Lmr Partners Llp | 2023-12-31 | 901.9 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 836.7 K | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 823.5 K | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 19.9 M | Harding Loevner L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 10.7 M |
BHP Group Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change In Cash | (2.2B) | 1.8B | 2.0B | (4.8B) | (4.3B) | (4.1B) | |
Free Cash Flow | 8.8B | 21.6B | 26.1B | 12.0B | 13.8B | 14.5B | |
Depreciation | 6.1B | 5.1B | 5.7B | 5.1B | 5.8B | 3.7B | |
Other Non Cash Items | (3.9B) | (983M) | (3.0B) | (7.6B) | (8.8B) | (8.3B) | |
Capital Expenditures | 6.9B | 5.6B | 6.1B | 6.7B | 7.7B | 6.3B | |
Net Income | 13.5B | 24.3B | 30.9B | 21.4B | 24.6B | 25.8B | |
End Period Cash Flow | 13.4B | 15.2B | 17.2B | 12.4B | 14.3B | 15.0B | |
Dividends Paid | 6.9B | 7.9B | 17.9B | 13.3B | 15.3B | 16.0B | |
Change To Inventory | (715M) | (405M) | (865M) | (44M) | (39.6M) | (41.6M) | |
Change To Netincome | 3.3B | 1.6B | 10.6B | (3.3B) | (3.8B) | (3.6B) | |
Investments | (7.6B) | (578M) | (266M) | (13.1B) | (11.8B) | (11.2B) | |
Net Borrowings | (2.4B) | (1.5B) | (7.8B) | (2.2B) | (2.0B) | (2.1B) |
BHP Group Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BHP Group or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BHP Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BHP stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
BHP Group Volatility Alert
BHP Group Limited exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.45 and kurtosis of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BHP Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BHP Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.BHP Group Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing BHP Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BHP Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BHP Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BHP Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BHP Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BHP Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare BHP Group to competition |
Fundamentals | BHP Group | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.19 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.15 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.13 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.39 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 306.93 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 2.54 B | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.02 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 3.80 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.03 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 7.62 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 3.58 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 2.71 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 53.82 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 43.23 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 27.12 B | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 21.4 B | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 5.22 B | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 6.93 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 22.34 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 0.37 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 1.69 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 8.17 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 18.7 B | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 3.08 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 2.91 X | 3.12 X |
Target Price | 63.35 | |
Number Of Employees | 49.09 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 0.86 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 144.8 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 101.3 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 39.79 B | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 4.31 B | 1.48 B |
Current Asset | 17.71 B | 9.34 B |
BHP Group Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BHP . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 14609.54 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1296 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
Day Median Price | 57.4 | |||
Day Typical Price | 57.33 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (0.18) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 0.07 |
About BHP Group Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell BHP Group Limited? Buying financial instruments such as BHP Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 16.4B | 22.3B | 25.7B | 16.2B | Total Assets | 95.2B | 101.3B | 116.5B | 68.1B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having BHP Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out BHP Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the BHP Group Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BHP Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for BHP Stock analysis
When running BHP Group's price analysis, check to measure BHP Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BHP Group is operating at the current time. Most of BHP Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BHP Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BHP Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BHP Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BHP Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BHP Group. If investors know BHP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BHP Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Dividend Share 1.52 | Earnings Share 2.91 | Revenue Per Share 21.974 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 |
The market value of BHP Group Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BHP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BHP Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BHP Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BHP Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BHP Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BHP Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BHP Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BHP Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.