American Realty Investors Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ARL Stock | USD 14.14 0.37 2.55% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Realty Investors is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Realty buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ARL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Realty's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting American Realty's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 11.88 | Hype Value 13.83 | Market Value 14.14 | Naive Value 14.88 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell American Realty Investors given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards American Realty. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for American Realty Investors, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
American |
Execute American Realty Buy or Sell Advice
The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Realty Investors. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Realty Investors or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Realty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
American Realty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| American Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Realty Investors has about 113.44 M in cash with (9.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.37. | |
| Roughly 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investorplace.com: ARL Stock Earnings American Realty Investors Reported Results for Q1 2024 |
American Realty Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of American Realty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Realty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Realty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Realty Investors price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Realty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Realty.
| Mean Return | -0.57 | Value At Risk | -5.28 | Potential Upside | 3.93 | Standard Deviation | 2.79 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Realty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
American Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as American Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Realty Investors backward and forwards among themselves. American Realty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase American Realty's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | New York State Common Retirement Fund | 2023-12-31 | 2.8 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 2.8 K | Barclays Plc | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 K | Rhumbline Advisers | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 K | Tower Research Capital Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 K | American International Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 742 | Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa | 2023-12-31 | 656 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 460 | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 104.2 K | Caldwell Sutter Capital Inc | 2023-12-31 | 82.9 K |
American Realty Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (23.3M) | 3.7M | (14.3M) | 149.6M | (143.3M) | (136.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (40.6M) | 3.5M | (135.2M) | (46.5M) | (9.6M) | (10.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 13.4M | 18.6M | 15.0M | 13.1M | 13.6M | 18.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 9.7M | (20.4M) | (29.8M) | (571.7M) | 24.6M | 25.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.7M | 8.5M | 17.5M | 123.7M | 1.2M | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | (21.7M) | 11.3M | 6.4M | 475.3M | 4.0M | 3.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 83.3M | 87.0M | 72.7M | 222.3M | 79.1M | 41.0M | |
| Investments | 4.8M | 4.2M | 9.2M | 284.9M | 26.8M | 52.2M | |
| Change Receivables | (52.6M) | (327K) | 18.2M | (7.6M) | (6.8M) | (7.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 95.8M | (2.7M) | (4.7M) | (1.4M) | (1.6M) | (1.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 19.9M | (18.1M) | (29.8M) | (571.7M) | (514.6M) | (488.8M) |
American Realty Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Realty or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Realty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.64 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
American Realty Volatility Alert
American Realty Investors exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.13 and kurtosis of 0.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Realty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Realty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.American Realty Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing American Realty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Realty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Realty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Realty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Realty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Realty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare American Realty to competition |
| Fundamentals | American Realty | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0041 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0038 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.13) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 556.76 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 16.15 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 91.06 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 3.83 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 19.94 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 36.02 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.41 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.73 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 50.5 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 488.47 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.41 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 3.97 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 113.44 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 182.68 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.85 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.80 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 38.20 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (9.64 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.61 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.25 X | 3.12 X |
| Beta | 0.76 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 228.39 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.02 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 553.4 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 397.7 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 1.02 B |
Note: Acquisition by Bradford Phillips of 100 shares of American Realty at 16.73 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
American Realty Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About American Realty Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell American Realty Investors? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 240.1M | 613.5M | 617.0M | 647.9M | Total Assets | 770.6M | 1.2B | 1.0B | 921.9M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having American Realty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Precious Metals ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Precious Metals ETFs theme has 29 constituents at this time.
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Check out American Realty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
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Is American Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Realty. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Earnings Share 0.25 | Revenue Per Share 3.34 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of American Realty Investors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.