American Homes 4 Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AMH Stock | USD 36.02 0.05 0.14% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Homes 4 is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Homes buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Homes' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting American Homes' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 36.59 | Target Price 37.39 | Hype Value 35.91 | Market Value 36.02 | Naive Value 36.25 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell American Homes 4 given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards American Homes. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for American Homes 4, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
American |
Execute American Homes Buy or Sell Advice
The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Homes 4. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Homes 4 or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Homes' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
American Homes Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| American Homes 4 has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 28th of March 2024 American Homes paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: American Homes 4 Rent declares 0.26 dividend |
American Homes Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of American Homes' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Homes' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Homes daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Homes 4 price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Homes returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Homes.
| Mean Return | 0.07 | Value At Risk | -1.54 | Potential Upside | 1.77 | Standard Deviation | 1.03 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Homes historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
American Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as American Homes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Homes 4 backward and forwards among themselves. American Homes' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase American Homes' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 6 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 5.8 M | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2023-12-31 | 5.4 M | Ci Investments Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.7 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 4.6 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 4.1 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4 M | Burgundy Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 3.9 M | Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 44.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 26.4 M |
American Homes Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (11.1M) | 101.0M | (73.3M) | 26.2M | 3.9M | 7.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 386.4M | 369.3M | 472.6M | 526.7M | 573.4M | 602.0M | |
| Depreciation | 329.3M | 343.2M | 372.8M | 426.5M | 456.6M | 304.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 7.5M | 7.4M | 8.8M | (122.1M) | (50.4M) | (47.9M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 71.5M | 104.8M | 122.6M | 138.8M | 213.1M | 393.9M | |
| Net Income | 156.3M | 154.8M | 210.6M | 310.0M | 379.1M | 398.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 164.1M | 265.1M | 191.8M | 218.0M | 221.9M | 218.3M | |
| Change To Inventory | (17.5M) | 2.8M | (14.2M) | (44.5M) | (51.2M) | (48.6M) | |
| Investments | 2.3M | 98.8M | 33.0M | 97.5M | (623.2M) | (592.0M) | |
| Change Receivables | (2.8M) | (15.9M) | 4.9M | (10.1M) | (9.1M) | (9.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 22.9M | (22.5M) | 1.0B | 626.0M | 563.4M | 311.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 115.0M | 116.2M | 184.2M | 269.6M | 333.4M | 350.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | (35.3M) | (28.2M) | 17.8M | (106.5M) | (95.9M) | (91.1M) |
American Homes Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Homes or Residential REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Homes' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0027 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
American Homes Volatility Alert
American Homes 4 has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.07, Maximum Drawdown of 4.07 and kurtosis of -0.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Homes' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Homes' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.American Homes Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing American Homes' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Homes' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Homes and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Homes or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Homes' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Homes by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare American Homes to competition |
| Fundamentals | American Homes | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0555 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0181 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.23 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.23 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 18.3 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 365.69 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.79 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.24 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 13.45 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 117.36 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.87 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 9.15 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.64 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 802.29 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 809.26 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 379.08 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 69.16 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.20 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.5 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.63 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.12 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.16 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 786.42 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.78 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.98 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 29.82 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 39.76 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.73 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.7 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.07 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 11.76 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (394.91 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (240.63 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Corrigan Jack E of 100 shares of American Homes at 22.65 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
American Homes Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About American Homes Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell American Homes 4? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 6.1B | 6.5B | 7.0B | 4.7B | Total Current Liabilities | 693.5M | 614.4M | 2.5B | 2.6B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having American Homes in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Consumer Funds Thematic Idea Now
Consumer Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest in consumer products such as packaged goods, clothing, food, beverages and retail services. The Consumer Funds theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out American Homes Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Homes' price analysis, check to measure American Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Homes is operating at the current time. Most of American Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Homes' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Homes. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Homes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 0.98 | Revenue Per Share 4.537 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.065 |
The market value of American Homes 4 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Homes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Homes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Homes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Homes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Homes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Homes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.