Alumindo Light (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALMI Stock  IDR 71.00  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alumindo Light Metal is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Alumindo Light buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ALMI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alumindo Light's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Alumindo Light's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
68.16
Hype Value
71
Market Value
71
Naive Value
55.29
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alumindo Light Metal given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alumindo Light. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alumindo Light Metal, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Alumindo Light Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alumindo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alumindo Light Metal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Alumindo Light Buy or Sell Advice

The Alumindo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alumindo Light Metal. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alumindo Light Metal or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alumindo Light's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alumindo LightBuy Alumindo Light
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alumindo Light Metal has a Mean Deviation of 2.94, Standard Deviation of 4.13 and Variance of 17.02
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Alumindo Light Metal that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Alumindo Light Metal. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Alumindo Light is not overpriced, please confirm all Alumindo Light Metal fundamentals, including its revenue, ebitda, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and net income .

Alumindo Light Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alumindo Light Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alumindo Light Metal has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 96.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alumindo Light Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alumindo Light's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alumindo Light's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alumindo Light daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alumindo Light Metal price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alumindo Light returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alumindo Light.
Mean Return
-1.33
Value At Risk
-9.59
Potential Upside
6.90
Standard Deviation
4.13
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alumindo Light historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alumindo Light Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alumindo Light or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alumindo Light's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alumindo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.45
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.53
σ
Overall volatility
4.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

Alumindo Light Volatility Alert

Alumindo Light Metal exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.19 and kurtosis of 1.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alumindo Light's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alumindo Light's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alumindo Light Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alumindo Light's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alumindo Light's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alumindo Light and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alumindo Light or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alumindo Light's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alumindo Light by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alumindo Light to competition
FundamentalsAlumindo LightPeer Average
Return On Equity0.64-0.31
Return On Asset0.0043-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation146.69 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.82 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders96.48 %10.09 %
Price To Sales10,986 X11.42 X
Revenue102.39 M9.43 B
Gross Profit3.45 M27.38 B
EBITDA5.73 M3.9 B
Net Income37.33 K570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.37 M2.7 B
Total Debt15.33 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations16.31 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1618.84 K
Beta-0.0066-0.15
Market Capitalization999.79 B19.03 B
Total Asset93.81 M29.47 B
Annual Yield0.09 %
Net Asset93.81 M

Alumindo Light Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alumindo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alumindo Light Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alumindo Light Metal? Buying financial instruments such as Alumindo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alumindo Light in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Manufacturing Thematic Idea Now

Manufacturing
Manufacturing Theme
Companies that provide goods across residential, commercial and industrial construction such as machinery, tools, or lumber production. The Manufacturing theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Manufacturing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Alumindo Light Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Alumindo Light's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alumindo Light is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alumindo Light's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.