Acadia Pharmaceuticals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ACAD Stock | USD 17.05 0.03 0.18% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides ACADIA Pharmaceuticals buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACAD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 16.21 | Target Price 31.25 | Hype Value 17.05 | Market Value 17.05 | Naive Value 16.76 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell ACADIA Pharmaceuticals given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards ACADIA Pharmaceuticals. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for ACADIA Pharmaceuticals, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
ACADIA |
Execute ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice
The ACADIA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ACADIA Pharmaceuticals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ACADIA Pharmaceuticals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| ACADIA Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ACADIA Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 726.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 145.49 M. | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acadia Pharmaceuticals Earnings Expected to Grow Should You Buy |
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ACADIA Pharmaceuticals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ACADIA Pharmaceuticals.
| Mean Return | -0.58 | Value At Risk | -4.24 | Potential Upside | 2.65 | Standard Deviation | 3.01 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
ACADIA Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ACADIA Pharmaceuticals backward and forwards among themselves. ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Palo Alto Investors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.4 M | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | Emerald Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Pictet Asset Manangement Sa | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2023-09-30 | 1.4 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Baker Bros Advisors Lp | 2023-12-31 | 42.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 13.4 M |
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Other Non Cash Items | (4.6M) | 44.3M | 75K | (6.3M) | 128.7M | 135.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.1M | 1.1M | 7.6M | 1.1M | 40.1M | 42.1M | |
| Net Income | (235.3M) | (281.6M) | (167.9M) | (216.0M) | (61.3M) | (64.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 194.5M | 331.8M | 153.2M | 120.6M | 188.7M | 198.1M | |
| Change In Cash | 54.9M | 137.3M | (178.6M) | (32.6M) | 73.8M | 77.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (152.3M) | (143.8M) | (126.8M) | (114.0M) | (23.3M) | (24.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 2.8M | 2.9M | 3.3M | 2.0M | 5.6M | 5.8M | |
| Change To Inventory | (1.7M) | (3.3M) | (4.2M) | 2.4M | (28.8M) | (27.4M) | |
| Investments | (164.7M) | 200.1M | (70.0M) | 73.2M | 32.0M | 33.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 81.3M | 130.0M | 61.3M | 61.9M | 71.2M | 56.3M | |
| Change Receivables | (9.4M) | (10.1M) | (12.4M) | (15.1M) | (13.6M) | (12.9M) |
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ACADIA Pharmaceuticals or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ACADIA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.65 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Volatility Alert
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.94 and kurtosis of 14.48. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ACADIA Pharmaceuticals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ACADIA Pharmaceuticals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ACADIA Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare ACADIA Pharmaceuticals to competition |
| Fundamentals | ACADIA Pharmaceuticals | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0686 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.43 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 165.2 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.47 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.95 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 11.16 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (13.77) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 6.54 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.89 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 726.44 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 145.49 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (67.83 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (61.29 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 436.35 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.70 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 57.2 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.53 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.62 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 16.7 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.88 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.37) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.42) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 28.96 | |
| Number Of Employees | 597 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.39 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.82 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 748.96 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.43 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 361.87 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 2716 shares by Mark Schneyer of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals at 17.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ACADIA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell ACADIA Pharmaceuticals? Buying financial instruments such as ACADIA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 56.1M | 62M | 57.2M | 60.1M | Total Assets | 700.1M | 587.8M | 749.0M | 786.4M |
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In addition to having ACADIA Pharmaceuticals in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade ACADIA Stock refer to our How to Trade ACADIA Stock guide.Note that the ACADIA Pharmaceuticals information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for ACADIA Stock analysis
When running ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals. If investors know ACADIA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ACADIA Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.37) | Revenue Per Share 4.434 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.693 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (0.15) |
The market value of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ACADIA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ACADIA Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.