Zhihu Inc Adr Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.36
| ZH Stock | USD 3.36 0.13 3.72% |
Closest to current price Zhihu long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Zhihu |
Zhihu Target Price Odds to finish over 3.36
The tendency of Zhihu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.36 | 90 days | 3.36 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhihu to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Zhihu Inc ADR probability density function shows the probability of Zhihu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This usually means Zhihu Inc ADR market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Zhihu is expected to follow. Additionally Zhihu Inc ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Zhihu Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zhihu
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhihu Inc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zhihu's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Zhihu Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhihu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhihu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhihu Inc ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhihu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Zhihu Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhihu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhihu Inc ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Zhihu Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Zhihu Inc ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.2 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (839.53 M) with gross profit of 1.81 B. | |
| Zhihu Inc ADR reports about 4.53 B in cash with (415.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Zhihu Inc ADR has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Whats Driving Nextdoor Holdings Incs Surprising 46 percent Stock Rally |
Zhihu Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhihu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhihu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhihu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 598.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 B |
Zhihu Technical Analysis
Zhihu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhihu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhihu Inc ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhihu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zhihu Predictive Forecast Models
Zhihu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhihu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhihu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Zhihu Inc ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhihu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhihu Inc ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Zhihu Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Zhihu Inc ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.2 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (839.53 M) with gross profit of 1.81 B. | |
| Zhihu Inc ADR reports about 4.53 B in cash with (415.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Zhihu Inc ADR has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Whats Driving Nextdoor Holdings Incs Surprising 46 percent Stock Rally |
Check out Zhihu Backtesting, Zhihu Valuation, Zhihu Correlation, Zhihu Hype Analysis, Zhihu Volatility, Zhihu History as well as Zhihu Performance. Note that the Zhihu Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Zhihu's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Zhihu Stock analysis
When running Zhihu's price analysis, check to measure Zhihu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zhihu is operating at the current time. Most of Zhihu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zhihu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zhihu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zhihu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Zhihu's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zhihu. If investors know Zhihu will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Zhihu listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.19) | Revenue Per Share 42.111 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.022 | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (0.16) |
The market value of Zhihu Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zhihu that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zhihu's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zhihu's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zhihu's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zhihu's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zhihu's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zhihu is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zhihu's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.